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Alania 2 vs Nart Cherkessk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Ulbashev I.
59'
Avanesyan G.
59'
Avanesyan G.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2024 game between Alania 2 and Nart Cherkessk finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nart Cherkessk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Alania 2
15%
Draws
85%
Nart Cherkessk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nart Cherkessk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Nart Cherkessk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Nart Cherkessk are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Alania 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Nart Cherkessk Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alania 2 Nart Cherkessk
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 4 20
Draws 4 6
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 0.7 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.73 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Alania 2 vs Nart Cherkessk
0:5
Jun 12, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Nart Cherkessk vs Alania 2
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alania 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Nart Cherkessk Compare

Top Goalscorer Ulbashev I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bostanov R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alania 2 10 / 100
Nart Cherkessk 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alania 2 Nart Cherkessk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nart Cherkessk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Alania 2's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Nart Cherkessk has conceded goals in 57% of their last 40 outings.

Away concern: Nart Cherkessk has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nart Cherkessk
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alania 2

(Home)
16 Nov
KDV Tomsk
6 : 2
Alania 2
09 Nov
Rubin Yalta
3 : 1
Alania 2
26 Oct
Alania 2
0 : 1
Angust Nazran
19 Oct
Maykop
3 : 0
Alania 2
12 Oct
Alania 2
0 : 5
Nart Cherkessk
Page 1 of 6

Nart Cherkessk

(Away)
03 Oct
Nart Cherkessk
2 : 0
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
26 Sept
Izberbash
1 : 1
Nart Cherkessk
19 Sept
Nart Cherkessk
3 : 0
Angust Nazran
12 Sept
Nart Cherkessk
0 : 1
Maykop
05 Sept
Spartak Nalchik
0 : 1
Nart Cherkessk
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Forte Taganrog 32 22 5 5 68:30 71
2 Rubin Yalta 32 20 4 8 48:26 64
3 Dynamo Stavropol 32 18 9 5 54:31 63
4 Legion Makhachkala 32 18 6 8 57:26 60
5 Rostov 2 32 19 3 10 57:33 60
6 FC Sevastopol 32 17 7 8 47:30 58
7 KDV Tomsk 32 13 9 10 44:34 48
8 Astrakhan 32 14 5 13 40:42 47
9 Nart Cherkessk 32 13 5 14 43:47 44
10 Maykop 32 13 3 16 41:42 42
11 Angust Nazran 32 8 14 10 22:27 38
12 Kuban Kholding 32 9 10 13 29:37 37
13 Spartak Nalchik 32 10 7 15 47:50 37
14 FK Pobeda 32 7 9 16 36:49 30
15 Biolog 32 8 6 18 41:56 30
16 Alania 2 32 4 5 23 24:87 17
17 Dynamo Makhachkala 2 32 3 5 24 19:70 14
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2024/2025 (Fall Season)