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Alania 2 vs Spartak Nalchik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Tlupov I.
49' Event
Dzakhov D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Alania 2
15%
Draws
85%
Spartak Nalchik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartak Nalchik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Alania 2 haven't matched Spartak Nalchik's recent run of results.
  • Spartak Nalchik are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Alania 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Spartak Nalchik Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alania 2 Spartak Nalchik
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 4 14
Draws 4 12
Losses 22 11
Goals Scored 0.7 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.73 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Alania 2 vs Spartak Nalchik
1:1
May 31, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Spartak Nalchik vs Alania 2
0:0
Oct 14, 2023 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Alania 2 vs Spartak Nalchik
3:0
Jul 16, 2023 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Spartak Nalchik vs Alania 2
1:0
Jun 10, 2023 FNL 2 - Group 1
Alania 2 vs Spartak Nalchik
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alania 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dzakhov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Spartak Nalchik Compare

Top Goalscorer Tlupov I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alania 2 10 / 100
Spartak Nalchik 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alania 2 Spartak Nalchik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartak Nalchik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Nalchik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 37 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Spartak Nalchik's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Alania 2 scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Spartak Nalchik
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alania 2

(Home)
16 Nov
KDV Tomsk
6 : 2
Alania 2
09 Nov
Rubin Yalta
3 : 1
Alania 2
26 Oct
Alania 2
0 : 1
Angust Nazran
19 Oct
Maykop
3 : 0
Alania 2
12 Oct
Alania 2
0 : 5
Nart Cherkessk
Page 1 of 6

Spartak Nalchik

(Away)
03 Oct
Spartak Nalchik
2 : 1
Astrakhan
26 Sept
FK Pobeda
4 : 3
Spartak Nalchik
19 Sept
Maykop
2 : 1
Spartak Nalchik
12 Sept
Angust Nazran
1 : 2
Spartak Nalchik
05 Sept
Spartak Nalchik
0 : 1
Nart Cherkessk
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Forte Taganrog 32 22 5 5 68:30 71
2 Rubin Yalta 32 20 4 8 48:26 64
3 Dynamo Stavropol 32 18 9 5 54:31 63
4 Legion Makhachkala 32 18 6 8 57:26 60
5 Rostov 2 32 19 3 10 57:33 60
6 FC Sevastopol 32 17 7 8 47:30 58
7 KDV Tomsk 32 13 9 10 44:34 48
8 Astrakhan 32 14 5 13 40:42 47
9 Nart Cherkessk 32 13 5 14 43:47 44
10 Maykop 32 13 3 16 41:42 42
11 Angust Nazran 32 8 14 10 22:27 38
12 Kuban Kholding 32 9 10 13 29:37 37
13 Spartak Nalchik 32 10 7 15 47:50 37
14 FK Pobeda 32 7 9 16 36:49 30
15 Biolog 32 8 6 18 41:56 30
16 Alania 2 32 4 5 23 24:87 17
17 Dynamo Makhachkala 2 32 3 5 24 19:70 14
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2024/2025 (Fall Season)