Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alania Vladikavkaz vs Kaluga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold Respublikanskij Stadion Spartak, Vladikavkaz
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alania Vladikavkaz host Kaluga in the FNL 2 - Division A Gold. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Kaluga have shipped 1.04 goals a game lately, while Alania Vladikavkaz have conceded 1.28 and scored 1.38. Head-to-head, Alania Vladikavkaz have won 0 to Kaluga's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 30, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.13 - 0.88) back Alania Vladikavkaz to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Alania Vladikavkaz
35%
Draws
26%
Kaluga
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alania Vladikavkaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Alania Vladikavkaz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Alania Vladikavkaz's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division A Gold form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Alania Vladikavkaz Clean Sheet 20%
Kaluga Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alania Vladikavkaz Kaluga
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 7
Draws 10 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.38 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Kaluga vs Alania Vladikavkaz
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alania Vladikavkaz 85 / 100
Kaluga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alania Vladikavkaz Kaluga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alania Vladikavkaz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Alania Vladikavkaz scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Kaluga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Alania Vladikavkaz has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alania Vladikavkaz VS Kaluga
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alania Vladikavkaz

(Home)
04 Oct
Alania Vladikavkaz
2 : 0
Saratov
27 Sept
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
4 : 4
Alania Vladikavkaz
20 Sept
Alania Vladikavkaz
0 : 2
D. Bryansk
12 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
0 : 0
Alania Vladikavkaz
06 Sept
Alania Vladikavkaz
0 : 0
Dynamo Vladivostok
Page 1 of 6

Kaluga

(Away)
04 Oct
Rodina Moscow 2
3 : 0
Kaluga
27 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 2
Kirov
20 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
3 : 0
Kaluga
13 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 1
Dynamo Vladivostok
09 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 0
Ufa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodina Moscow 2 12 8 2 2 23:10 26
2 Kirov 12 7 3 2 14:9 24
3 Sibir Novosibirsk 12 5 3 4 17:14 18
4 D. Bryansk 12 4 4 4 11:15 16
5 Alania Vladikavkaz 12 3 6 3 16:12 15
6 Dynamo Vladivostok 12 3 5 4 8:9 14
7 Mashuk 12 2 8 2 9:9 14
8 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 12 1 9 2 12:13 12
9 Saratov 12 1 6 5 10:19 9
10 Kaluga 12 0 6 6 6:16 6
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Spring Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Spring Season)