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Alania Vladikavkaz vs Mashuk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold Respublikanskij Stadion Spartak, Vladikavkaz
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alania Vladikavkaz host Mashuk in the FNL 2 - Division A Gold. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Alania Vladikavkaz have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.28 conceded recently, against Mashuk's 1 scored and 0.79 conceded. Head-to-head, Alania Vladikavkaz have won 1 to Mashuk's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 0.94) point toward Alania Vladikavkaz. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Alania Vladikavkaz
35%
Draws
32%
Mashuk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alania Vladikavkaz come out ahead of Mashuk on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Alania Vladikavkaz taking it.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division A Gold form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Alania Vladikavkaz Clean Sheet 20%
Mashuk Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alania Vladikavkaz Mashuk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 10 17
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Mashuk vs Alania Vladikavkaz
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Alania Vladikavkaz vs Mashuk
0:1
Sep 6, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Mashuk vs Alania Vladikavkaz
2:1
Mar 28, 2020 FNL 2 - Group 1
Alania Vladikavkaz vs Mashuk
0:0
Sep 1, 2019 FNL 2 - Group 1
Mashuk vs Alania Vladikavkaz
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alania Vladikavkaz 42 / 100
Mashuk 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alania Vladikavkaz Mashuk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alania Vladikavkaz's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Alania Vladikavkaz stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Mashuk has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Alania Vladikavkaz VS Mashuk
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alania Vladikavkaz

(Home)
04 Oct
Alania Vladikavkaz
2 : 0
Saratov
27 Sept
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
4 : 4
Alania Vladikavkaz
20 Sept
Alania Vladikavkaz
0 : 2
D. Bryansk
12 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
0 : 0
Alania Vladikavkaz
06 Sept
Alania Vladikavkaz
0 : 0
Dynamo Vladivostok
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Mashuk

(Away)
04 Oct
Mashuk
1 : 1
Kirov
27 Sept
Saratov
0 : 0
Mashuk
21 Sept
Mashuk
0 : 0
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
12 Sept
Rodina Moscow 2
3 : 1
Mashuk
06 Sept
Mashuk
3 : 1
Sibir Novosibirsk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodina Moscow 2 12 8 2 2 23:10 26
2 Kirov 12 7 3 2 14:9 24
3 Sibir Novosibirsk 12 5 3 4 17:14 18
4 D. Bryansk 12 4 4 4 11:15 16
5 Alania Vladikavkaz 12 3 6 3 16:12 15
6 Dynamo Vladivostok 12 3 5 4 8:9 14
7 Mashuk 12 2 8 2 9:9 14
8 FC Volgar-Astrakhan 12 1 9 2 12:13 12
9 Saratov 12 1 6 5 10:19 9
10 Kaluga 12 0 6 6 6:16 6
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold (Spring Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Spring Season)