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Alania Vladikavkaz vs Tyumen

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 Respublikanskij Stadion Spartak
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Gurenko E.
3'
Khugaev A.
7' Event
Abdulkhamidov M.

AI Match Summary

Alania Vladikavkaz in this FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alania Vladikavkaz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Alania Vladikavkaz
11%
Draws
9%
Tyumen
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Alania Vladikavkaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Alania Vladikavkaz have won more games recently than Tyumen.
  • Model gives Alania Vladikavkaz a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Alania Vladikavkaz Clean Sheet 11%
Tyumen Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alania Vladikavkaz Tyumen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 2 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Tyumen vs Alania Vladikavkaz
2:2
Feb 28, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Alania Vladikavkaz vs Tyumen
1:0
Oct 11, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Tyumen vs Alania Vladikavkaz
0:2
Aug 16, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Alania Vladikavkaz vs Tyumen
1:2
Mar 8, 2025 FNL
Alania Vladikavkaz vs Tyumen
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alania Vladikavkaz Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdulkhamidov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Tyumen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alania Vladikavkaz 74 / 100
Tyumen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alania Vladikavkaz Tyumen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tyumen let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Alania Vladikavkaz scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Alania Vladikavkaz stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alania Vladikavkaz VS Tyumen
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1D. Bryansk18113423:1936
2Kirov1889131:1633
3Alania Vladikavkaz1875623:2226
4Dynamo Vladivostok1866621:2024
5Amkar1866630:2624
6Dynamo Moscow 21857629:3622
7Zenit St Petersburg 21864833:3722
8Tyumen1855825:2520
9Dynamo Stavropol18531020:2618
10Kuban1846817:2518