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Alanya 1221 vs Etimesgut - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Tutcuoglu G.
(Penalty)
57' Event
Tutcuoglu G.
90' Event
Tutcuoglu G.
Assist: Bulut Z.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 2 game between Alanya 1221 and Etimesgut finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Etimesgut.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Alanya 1221
15%
Draws
78%
Etimesgut
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Etimesgut

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Etimesgut come out ahead of Alanya 1221 on wins alone.
  • Etimesgut are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Alanya 1221 Clean Sheet 14%
Etimesgut Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alanya 1221 Etimesgut
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 0.93 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Alanya 1221 vs Etimesgut
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alanya 1221 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Etimesgut Compare

Top Goalscorer Tutcuoglu G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alanya 1221 10 / 100
Etimesgut 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alanya 1221 Etimesgut

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Etimesgut Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Alanya 1221 scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Etimesgut let in goals in 43% of their last 30 matches.

Alanya 1221 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alanya 1221 VS Etimesgut
0.38 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alanya 1221

(Home)
07 Oct
Soma Spor
4 : 2
Alanya 1221
03 Oct
Altay
0 : 0
Alanya 1221
26 Sept
Alanya 1221
0 : 3
Etimesgut
19 Sept
Aksehirspor
3 : 1
Alanya 1221
13 Sept
Alanya 1221
0 : 3
Balikesirspor
Page 1 of 6

Etimesgut

(Away)
07 Oct
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
1 : 5
Etimesgut
03 Oct
Etimesgut
1 : 0
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
26 Sept
Alanya 1221
0 : 3
Etimesgut
20 Sept
Etimesgut
2 : 0
Bucaspor 1928
13 Sept
Gemlikspor
1 : 0
Etimesgut
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gemlikspor 5 4 1 0 9:1 13
2 Etimesgut 5 4 0 1 7:1 12
3 Eskisehir Anadolu 5 3 2 0 10:3 11
4 Bursa Yildirimspor 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
5 Eskisehirspor 5 3 1 1 16:6 10
6 Ayvalikgucu 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
7 Balikesirspor 5 3 0 2 14:12 9
8 Bigaspor 5 2 2 1 10:7 8
9 Soke 1970 5 1 3 1 5:4 6
10 Altay 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
11 Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 5 2 0 3 6:7 6
12 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
13 Karsiyaka 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
14 Bucaspor 1928 5 1 0 4 4:10 3
15 Aksehirspor 5 1 0 4 4:13 3
16 Kepez Bld. 5 0 2 3 2:8 2
17 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 5 0 2 3 1:10 2
18 Alanya 1221 5 0 1 4 1:13 1
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)