Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig 2025/2026 Alanya Oba Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Linetty K.
25'
Keita H.
26' Event
Hadergjonaj F.
Assist: Janvier N.

AI Match Summary

Alanyaspor in this Super Lig 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alanyaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Alanyaspor
30%
Draws
34%
Kocaelispor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alanyaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Alanyaspor has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Kocaelispor.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Alanyaspor.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Super Lig 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Alanyaspor Clean Sheet 20%
Kocaelispor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alanyaspor Kocaelispor
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 12 9
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.38 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Super Lig
Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor
5:0
Oct 25, 2025 Super Lig
Kocaelispor vs Alanyaspor
2:0
Dec 5, 2023 Turkish Cup
Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alanyaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Hadergjonaj F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hwang Ui-Jo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Kocaelispor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alanyaspor 36 / 100
Kocaelispor 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alanyaspor Kocaelispor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alanyaspor scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Kocaelispor let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Alanyaspor went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Kocaelispor lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alanyaspor VS Kocaelispor
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galatasaray34245577:3077
2Fenerbahce342111277:3774
3Trabzonspor34209561:3969
4Besiktas34179859:4060
5Basaksehir34169958:3557
6Goztepe341413742:3255
7Samsunspor341312946:4551
8Rizespor3410111346:5241
9Konyaspor3410101443:5040
10Kocaelispor349101526:3837
11Alanyaspor347161141:4137
12Gaziantep349101543:5837
13Kasimpasa348111533:4935
14Genclerbirligi34971836:4734
15Eyupspor34891733:4833
16Antalyaspor34881833:5532
17Kayserispor346121627:6230
18F. Karagumruk34862031:5430