Sport Picks

Armenia

Premier League 2025/2026 Alashkert Stadium

Alashkert

3 - 1

FC Gandzasar

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Nalbandyan K.

(Penalty)

27'

Sub

Piloyan E. In: Gareginyan Y.

Out: Piloyan E.

44'

Nalbandyan K.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Alashkert and FC Gandzasar finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alashkert.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Alashkert

Draws

FC Gandzasar

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alashkert

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Alashkert come out ahead of FC Gandzasar on wins alone.
Alashkert are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%

Alashkert Clean Sheet 20%

FC Gandzasar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Alashkert	FC Gandzasar
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	16	6
Draws	7	8
Losses	9	16
Goals Scored	2	1
Goals Conceded	1	2.5
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Premier League

Alashkert vs FC Gandzasar

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 4 - 2

3:1

Nov 3, 2025 Premier League

FC Gandzasar vs Alashkert

Possession: 55% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Sep 21, 2025 Premier League

Alashkert vs FC Gandzasar

Possession: 45% - 40% Cards: 4 - 2

2:0

Sep 17, 2025 Armenian Cup

FC Gandzasar vs Alashkert

Possession: 42% - 55% Cards: 4 - 1

2:1

May 2, 2025 Premier League

Alashkert vs FC Gandzasar

Possession: 41% - 43% Cards: 3 - 0

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alashkert Compare

Top Goalscorer Caio Henrique

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

FC Gandzasar Compare

Top Goalscorer Mani B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alashkert 85 / 100

FC Gandzasar 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Alashkert FC Gandzasar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alashkert's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Difficult form: FC Gandzasar registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

FC Gandzasar has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Alashkert VS FC Gandzasar

2 Goals Scored 1

1 Goals Conceded 2.5

88% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ararat-Armenia	27	18	6	3	50:25	60
2	Noah	27	16	8	3	61:19	56
3	Pyunik Yerevan	27	17	4	6	37:18	55
4	Alashkert	27	16	5	6	42:23	53
5	Urartu	27	14	7	6	43:26	49
6	Van	27	9	4	14	27:40	31
7	BKMA	27	4	11	12	30:42	23
8	FC Gandzasar	27	5	6	16	20:41	21
9	Ararat Yerevan	27	3	4	20	21:63	13
10	Shirak Gyumri	27	2	7	18	17:51	13