Sport Picks

Europe

Conference League Alashkert Stadium

Yelimay Semey

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Alashkert play Yelimay Semey in the Conference League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Alashkert averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Yelimay Semey averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Alashkert won 3, Yelimay Semey won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 2-2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Alashkert and 1.13 for Yelimay Semey. This points to a Alashkert double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Alashkert

20%

Draws

38%

Yelimay Semey

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alashkert

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Alashkert picked up more points recently compared to Yelimay Semey.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 56%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%

Alashkert Clean Sheet 21%

Yelimay Semey Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Alashkert	Yelimay Semey
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	14	13
Draws	6	6
Losses	9	9
Goals Scored	1.41	1.86
Goals Conceded	1.03	1.57
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Conference League

Alashkert vs Yelimay Semey

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

2-2

Apr 12, 2025 Conference League

Yelimay Semey vs Alashkert

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

0-1

Mar 12, 2025 Conference League

Alashkert vs Yelimay Semey

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

0-1

Feb 12, 2025 Conference League

Yelimay Semey vs Alashkert

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

0-1

Jan 12, 2025 Conference League

Alashkert vs Yelimay Semey

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

3-2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alashkert 42 / 100

Yelimay Semey 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Alashkert Yelimay Semey

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Alashkert or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12%

2.00

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Alashkert attacking → ← attacking Yelimay Semey

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alashkert scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Yelimay Semey let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Alashkert went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Yelimay Semey lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 45

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63