Sport Picks

Europe

Conference League Alashkert Stadium

Yelimay Semey

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Alashkert play Yelimay Semey in the Conference League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Alashkert averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Yelimay Semey averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Alashkert won 3, Yelimay Semey won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 2-1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Alashkert and 1.13 for Yelimay Semey. This points to a Alashkert double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Alashkert

22%

Draws

18%

Yelimay Semey

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Alashkert

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Alashkert has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Yelimay Semey.
Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Alashkert.
Cup tournament structure in Conference League increases high-stakes performance focus.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Alashkert Clean Sheet 20%

Yelimay Semey Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Alashkert	Yelimay Semey
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	14	13
Draws	6	6
Losses	9	9
Goals Scored	1.5	1.5
Goals Conceded	0.75	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Conference League

Alashkert vs Yelimay Semey

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

2-1

Apr 12, 2025 Conference League

Yelimay Semey vs Alashkert

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

1-2

Mar 12, 2025 Conference League

Alashkert vs Yelimay Semey

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

1-2

Feb 12, 2025 Conference League

Yelimay Semey vs Alashkert

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

0-1

Jan 12, 2025 Conference League

Alashkert vs Yelimay Semey

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

0-1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alashkert 58 / 100

Yelimay Semey 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Alashkert Yelimay Semey

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alashkert scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Yelimay Semey let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Alashkert went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Yelimay Semey lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alashkert VS Yelimay Semey

1.5 Goals Scored 1.5

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63

63% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals

Rijeka-

TBD-

Lugano-

TBD-

Dukagjini-

FCSB-

TBD-

FK Auda Riga-

Rakow Czestochowa-

TBD-

Valletta-

Debrecen-

TBD-

Marsaxlokk-

Pyunik Yerevan-

IFK Goteborg-

TBD-

Caernarfon-

Levadia-

Varazdin-

TBD-

Jablonec-

Bravo-

TBD-

Europa FC-

Shkendija Tetovo-

Shelbourne-

TBD-

Kalju-

Linfield-

Zimbru Chisinau-

TBD-

Noah-

TBD-

Dinamo Tirana-

FC Astana-

AF Elbasani-

BATE-

TBD-

Sion-

Motherwell-

TBD-

HB Torshavn-

Vllaznia-

Malisheva-

TBD-

Hibernian-

Paks-

TBD-

Panathinaikos-

TBD-

Ajax-

LNZ Cherkasy-

TBD-

Gent-

Hapoel Tel Aviv-

TBD-

Ludogorets-

Bohemians-

St Josephs-

Connahs Q.-

FC Ballkani-

Vaduz-

TBD-

Mornar Bar-

Atletic Escaldes-

NSI Runavik-

Hamrun-

TBD-

Koper-

Partizan-

TBD-

UNA Strassen-

La Fiorita-

Basaksehir-

TBD-

FK Sarajevo-

Inter Turku-

HJK-

TBD-

Coleraine-

Glentoran-

RFS-

TBD-

Decic-

FK Liepaja-

TBD-

Austria Vienna-

GAIS-

TBD-

Nordsjaelland-

TBD-

GKS Katowice-

Dila Gori-

Virtus-

TBD-

Apollon Limassol-

TBD-

Brann-

Valur-

TBD-

Zrinjski-

Mondorf-

Dinamo Tbilisi-

Petrovac-

Zalgiris-

Dun. Streda-

TBD-

Velez Mostar-

Milsami-

Vikingur-

Stjarnan-

Differdange-

Ilves-

FK Panevezys-

TBD-

Tobol-

Neftci Baku-

TBD-

Din. Minsk-

Sileks-

Zeleznicar Pancevo-

TBD-

Braga-

Polissya Zhytomyr-

TBD-

FC Copenhagen-

Penybont-

FC Santa Coloma-

TBD-

Rapid Vienna-

Alashkert-

Yelimay Semey-

TBD-

CFR Cluj-

FC Hegelmann-

Paide Linnameeskond-

Zira FK-

Torpedo Kutaisi-

Spartak Trnava-

TBD-

CSKA 1948 Sofia-

AEK Larnaca-

TBD-

Beitar Jerusalem-

TBD-

Quarter-finals

Rijeka-

TBD-

Lugano-

Dukagjini-

FCSB-

FK Auda Riga-

Rakow Czestochowa-

Valletta-

Debrecen-

TBD-

IFK Goteborg-

TBD-

Varazdin-

Jablonec-

Bravo-

TBD-

Shelbourne-

TBD-

Zimbru Chisinau-

Noah-

TBD-

Sion-

Motherwell-

HB Torshavn-

TBD-

Hibernian-

Paks-

Panathinaikos-

TBD-

Ajax-

LNZ Cherkasy-

Gent-

Hapoel Tel Aviv-

Ludogorets-

TBD-

Vaduz-

TBD-

Koper-

Partizan-

TBD-

Basaksehir-

TBD-

HJK-

Coleraine-

TBD-

Austria Vienna-

GAIS-

Nordsjaelland-

TBD-

GKS Katowice-

TBD-

Apollon Limassol-

TBD-

Brann-

Valur-

Zrinjski-

TBD-

Dun. Streda-

TBD-

FK Panevezys-

Tobol-

TBD-

Zeleznicar Pancevo-

Braga-

Polissya Zhytomyr-

FC Copenhagen-

TBD-

Rapid Vienna-

TBD-

CFR Cluj-

TBD-

Spartak Trnava-

CSKA 1948 Sofia-

AEK Larnaca-

Beitar Jerusalem-

TBD-

Semi-finals

TBD-

Final

TBD-