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Alaves B vs Amorebieta

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Zorrilla G.
51' Event
Tienza F.
90' Event
Arzak A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Alaves B and Amorebieta finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Amorebieta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Alaves B
20%
Draws
36%
Amorebieta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alaves B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Amorebieta haven't matched Alaves B's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Alaves B Clean Sheet 21%
Amorebieta Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alaves B Amorebieta
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.18 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Alaves B vs Amorebieta
1:2
Apr 5, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alaves B vs Amorebieta
1:2
Nov 15, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Amorebieta vs Alaves B
0:0
Feb 20, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Amorebieta vs Alaves B
3:2
Nov 22, 2020 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alaves B vs Amorebieta
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alaves B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Amorebieta Compare

Top Goalscorer Zorrilla G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tienza F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alaves B 37 / 100
Amorebieta 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alaves B Amorebieta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amorebieta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alaves B's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Amorebieta conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Alaves B went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alaves B VS Amorebieta
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alaves B

(Home)
05 Sept
Alaves B
0 : 2
Coruxo FC
22 Aug
Alaves B
1 : 2
Amorebieta
21 Aug
Naxara
0 : 1
Alaves B
17 May
Alaves B
0 : 2
Jaen
10 May
Jaen
1 : 2
Alaves B
Page 1 of 6

Amorebieta

(Away)
06 Sept
Amorebieta
2 : 2
Arosa SC
29 Aug
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 0
Amorebieta
26 Aug
Gernika Club
1 : 1
Amorebieta
22 Aug
Alaves B
1 : 2
Amorebieta
08 Aug
Amorebieta
0 : 1
Ath Bilbao B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)