Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alaves B vs Barakaldo

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Arzak A.

AI Match Summary

Alaves B in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alaves B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Alaves B
15%
Draws
46%
Barakaldo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barakaldo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alaves B lately — more wins on the board than Barakaldo.
  • Alaves B are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Alaves B Clean Sheet 18%
Barakaldo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alaves B Barakaldo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 15
Draws 9 7
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.29 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.71 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Alaves B vs Barakaldo
1:0
Apr 21, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Barakaldo vs Alaves B
3:2
Dec 10, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alaves B vs Barakaldo
1:2
Mar 13, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Barakaldo vs Alaves B
1:2
Nov 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Alaves B vs Barakaldo
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alaves B Compare

Top Goalscorer Arzak A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Barakaldo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alaves B 36 / 100
Barakaldo 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alaves B Barakaldo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Alaves B's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Barakaldo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Alaves B has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alaves B VS Barakaldo
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alaves B

(Home)
13 Sept
Llanera
1 : 2
Alaves B
05 Sept
Alaves B
0 : 2
Coruxo FC
22 Aug
Alaves B
1 : 2
Amorebieta
21 Aug
Naxara
0 : 1
Alaves B
17 May
Alaves B
0 : 2
Jaen
Page 1 of 7

Barakaldo

(Away)
11 Sept
Barakaldo
1 : 0
CD Extremadura
05 Sept
CD Coria
4 : 1
Barakaldo
30 Aug
Barakaldo
0 : 0
Leonesa
14 Aug
Portugalete
2 : 0
Barakaldo
12 Aug
Barakaldo
3 : 1
Ath Bilbao B
Page 1 of 6