Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alaves C vs Sodupe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Nunez Abasolo I.
Own Goal
66' Event
Aranguren A.
73' Event
Albarracin M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 game between Alaves C and Sodupe finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alaves C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Alaves C
30%
Draws
29%
Sodupe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alaves C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Sodupe haven't matched Alaves C's recent run of results.
  • Alaves C are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Alaves C Clean Sheet 20%
Sodupe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alaves C Sodupe
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2.03 1
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.83 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Alaves C vs Sodupe
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alaves C Compare

Top Goalscorer Albarracin M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Aranguren A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.92

Sodupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Barcenas M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alaves C 85 / 100
Sodupe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alaves C Sodupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alaves C Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alaves C found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Sodupe conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Alaves C stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alaves C VS Sodupe
2.38 Goals Scored 0.86
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.29
88% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 29%
50% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Alaves C

(Home)
04 Oct
Alaves C
5 : 1
Sodupe
26 Sept
Alaves C
1 : 2
Touring KE
19 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
Alaves C
12 Sept
Alaves C
3 : 0
Amurrio Club
05 Sept
Eibar C
1 : 1
Alaves C
Page 1 of 6

Sodupe

(Away)
04 Oct
Alaves C
5 : 1
Sodupe
26 Sept
Sodupe
0 : 3
Aurrera de Vitoria
20 Sept
Amurrio Club
0 : 0
Sodupe
13 Sept
Sodupe
1 : 1
Eibar C
06 Sept
Real Union B
0 : 2
Sodupe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurrera de Vitoria 5 4 1 0 10:4 13
2 Derio 5 3 2 0 7:2 11
3 Pasaia 5 3 1 1 7:6 10
4 Leioa 5 2 3 0 12:6 9
5 Real Sociedad C 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
6 Touring KE 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
7 UD Aretxabaleta 5 2 2 1 4:3 8
8 Alaves C 5 2 1 2 11:6 7
9 Lagun Onak 5 2 1 2 4:5 7
10 SCD Durango 5 1 3 1 8:8 6
11 SD Erandio 5 2 0 3 6:6 6
12 San Ignacio 5 1 2 2 8:7 5
13 Eibar C 5 1 2 2 8:8 5
14 Real Union B 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
15 Sodupe 5 1 2 2 4:9 5
16 Beasain 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
17 Santurtzi 5 1 0 4 2:7 3
18 Amurrio Club 5 0 1 4 1:12 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)