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Alaves C vs Touring KE - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Erdocia J.
33' Event
Seara A.
72' Event
Aranguren A.

AI Match Summary

Touring KE in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Touring KE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Alaves C
20%
Draws
38%
Touring KE
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alaves C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Alaves C have won more games recently than Touring KE.
  • Win probability leans Alaves C's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Alaves C Clean Sheet 17%
Touring KE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alaves C Touring KE
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 15 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.06 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Alaves C vs Touring KE
1:2
Apr 16, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Touring KE vs Alaves C
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Alaves C vs Touring KE
0:0
Feb 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Touring KE vs Alaves C
0:1
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Alaves C vs Touring KE
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alaves C Compare

Top Goalscorer Aranguren A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Touring KE Compare

Top Goalscorer Erdocia J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Seara A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alaves C 66 / 100
Touring KE 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alaves C Touring KE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alaves C Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Alaves C scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Touring KE let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Alaves C stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alaves C VS Touring KE
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alaves C

(Home)
10 Oct
SD Erandio
0 : 2
Alaves C
04 Oct
Alaves C
5 : 1
Sodupe
26 Sept
Alaves C
1 : 2
Touring KE
19 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
Alaves C
12 Sept
Alaves C
3 : 0
Amurrio Club
Page 1 of 7

Touring KE

(Away)
10 Oct
Sodupe
1 : 0
Touring KE
03 Oct
Touring KE
2 : 2
SCD Durango
26 Sept
Alaves C
1 : 2
Touring KE
19 Sept
Touring KE
2 : 0
Beasain
12 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
1 : 1
Touring KE
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurrera de Vitoria 6 4 1 1 10:8 13
2 Leioa 6 3 3 0 16:6 12
3 Derio 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
4 Real Sociedad C 6 3 2 1 11:8 11
5 UD Aretxabaleta 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
6 Alaves C 6 3 1 2 13:6 10
7 Pasaia 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
8 San Ignacio 6 2 2 2 10:8 8
9 Touring KE 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
10 Sodupe 6 2 2 2 5:9 8
11 SCD Durango 6 1 4 1 9:9 7
12 Beasain 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
13 Lagun Onak 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
14 SD Erandio 6 2 0 4 6:8 6
15 Santurtzi 6 2 0 4 3:7 6
16 Eibar C 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
17 Real Union B 6 1 2 3 7:12 5
18 Amurrio Club 6 0 1 5 1:13 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)