Sport Picks
Alaves W vs Atl. Madrid B W
Spain
Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 Estadio Mendizorrotza 
AI Match Summary
Alaves W play Atl. Madrid B W in the Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026. Alaves W are favorites here. Recently, Alaves W averaged 1.73 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Atl. Madrid B W averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Alaves W won 5, Atl. Madrid B W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 11, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Alaves W and 0.88 for Atl. Madrid B W. This points to a Alaves W double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Alaves W picked up more points recently compared to Atl. Madrid B W.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 0.88 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alaves W | Atl. Madrid B W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.73 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.8 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alaves W Compare
Atl. Madrid B W Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alaves W scored in 93% of their last 30 games.
Atl. Madrid B W let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Alaves W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Atl. Madrid B W lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Match Risk Analysis
Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability
Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.
Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.
Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona B W | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 67:26 | 58 |
| 2 | Alaves W | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 44:15 | 56 |
| 3 | Valencia W | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 35:18 | 46 |
| 4 | Real Madrid B W | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 35:27 | 41 |
| 5 | Tenerife B W | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 34:36 | 39 |
| 6 | Villarreal W | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 35:31 | 38 |
| 7 | CA Osasuna W | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 30:26 | 33 |
| 8 | Albacete W | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 25:33 | 33 |
| 9 | Cacereno W | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 22:33 | 31 |
| 10 | Atl. Madrid B W | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 26:32 | 31 |
| 11 | SE AEM W | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 26:36 | 30 |
| 12 | CE Europa W | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 29:47 | 23 |
| 13 | Betis W | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 24:48 | 23 |
| 14 | Real Oviedo W | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 18:42 | 18 |