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Alaves W vs Real Sociedad W

World World

Club Friendly Women 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Sociedad W in this Club Friendly Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Sociedad W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Alaves W
40%
Draws
29%
Real Sociedad W
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Sociedad W have won more games recently than Alaves W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Real Sociedad W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Alaves W Clean Sheet 20%
Real Sociedad W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alaves W Real Sociedad W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 19 23
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Alaves W vs Real Sociedad W
1:3
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly Women
Real Sociedad W vs Alaves W
2:1
Aug 26, 2023 Club Friendly Women
Alaves W vs Real Sociedad W
0:4
Mar 19, 2023 Liga F Women
Real Sociedad W vs Alaves W
6:5
Oct 29, 2022 Liga F Women
Alaves W vs Real Sociedad W
1:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alaves W 32 / 100
Real Sociedad W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alaves W Real Sociedad W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alaves W's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.60 goals per match.

Alaves W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Real Sociedad W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Alaves W VS Real Sociedad W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%