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Alay Osh vs Aldier

Kyrgyzstan Kyrgyzstan

Premier Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Maslovskiy V.
54' Event
Maslovskiy V.

AI Match Summary

Aldier in this Premier Liga matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aldier.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Alay Osh
30%
Draws
29%
Aldier
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alay Osh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alay Osh lately — more wins on the board than Aldier.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Alay Osh Clean Sheet 20%
Aldier Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alay Osh Aldier
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.34 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Premier Liga
Aldier vs Alay Osh
1:3
Jun 22, 2026 Premier Liga
Alay Osh vs Aldier
0:2
Nov 5, 2025 Premier Liga
Alay Osh vs Aldier
2:2
Mar 26, 2025 Premier Liga
Aldier vs Alay Osh
0:1
Oct 7, 2024 Premier Liga
Alay Osh vs Aldier
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alay Osh Compare

Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Aldier Compare

Top Goalscorer Maslovskiy V.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alay Osh 32 / 100
Aldier 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alay Osh Aldier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alay Osh's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Aldier let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Alay Osh went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alay Osh VS Aldier
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Alay Osh

(Home)
10 Sept
Alay Osh
0 : 1
Muras United
05 Sept
Bars
6 : 0
Alay Osh
31 Aug
Alay Osh
0 : 0
Asiagoal Bishkek
23 Aug
Dordoi Bishkek
0 : 2
Alay Osh
16 Aug
Alay Osh
2 : 0
Talant
Page 1 of 6

Aldier

(Away)
07 Sept
Dordoi Bishkek
2 : 2
Aldier
01 Sept
Aldier
3 : 2
Muras United
24 Aug
Toktogul
2 : 1
Aldier
19 Aug
Aldier
1 : 1
Abdysh-Ata Kant
14 Aug
Ozgon
3 : 2
Aldier
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bars 22 14 4 4 63:31 46
2 Muras United 22 13 7 2 47:20 46
3 Alga Bishkek 22 13 6 3 41:23 45
4 Ozgon 22 14 2 6 48:27 44
5 Asia Talas 23 12 7 4 52:36 43
6 Alay Osh 23 12 5 6 31:27 41
7 Talant 24 7 9 8 29:25 30
8 Dordoi Bishkek 23 8 5 10 36:32 29
9 Neftchi Kochkor-Ata 23 9 2 12 31:39 29
10 Aldier 23 7 7 9 34:41 28
11 Toktogul 23 8 4 11 26:35 28
12 Ilbirs 22 5 10 7 28:34 25
13 Bishkek City 23 5 9 9 22:31 24
14 Asiagoal Bishkek 23 4 9 10 27:39 21
15 Abdysh-Ata Kant 23 2 5 16 18:49 11
16 Kyrgyzaltyn 23 1 5 17 19:63 8
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)