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Alay Osh vs Aldier

Kyrgyzstan Kyrgyzstan

Premier Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Maslovskiy V.
54' Event
Maslovskiy V.

AI Match Summary

Aldier in this Premier Liga matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aldier.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Alay Osh
28%
Draws
22%
Aldier
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Alay Osh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aldier lately — more wins on the board than Alay Osh.
  • Model gives Alay Osh a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Alay Osh Clean Sheet 15%
Aldier Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alay Osh Aldier
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.25 2
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2026 Premier Liga
Alay Osh vs Aldier
0:2
Nov 5, 2025 Premier Liga
Alay Osh vs Aldier
2:2
Mar 26, 2025 Premier Liga
Aldier vs Alay Osh
0:1
Oct 7, 2024 Premier Liga
Alay Osh vs Aldier
1:1
Aug 12, 2024 Premier Liga
Alay Osh vs Aldier
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alay Osh Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Aldier Compare

Top Goalscorer Maslovskiy V.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alay Osh 48 / 100
Aldier 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alay Osh Aldier

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alay Osh's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Aldier let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Alay Osh went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alay Osh VS Aldier
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Alga Bishkek15105031:1335
2Muras United14103132:1233
3Bars14102241:1932
4Ozgon15102327:1432
5Asia Talas15102337:2632
6Alay Osh1574417:1525
7Aldier1565423:2123
8Dordoi Bishkek1553719:2118
9Talant1537515:1616
10Bishkek City1544715:2216
11Asiagoal Bishkek1535717:2614
12Neftchi Kochkor-Ata1542915:2514
13Ilbirs1527615:2613
14Toktogul15411013:2413
15Abdysh-Ata Kant15221112:278
16Kyrgyzaltyn15041112:344