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Alba vs Gozzano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Beye DIeye M.
90' Event
Schimmenti E.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 game between Alba and Gozzano finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Alba
30%
Draws
29%
Gozzano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Gozzano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Alba Clean Sheet 68%
Gozzano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alba Gozzano
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 8 11
Draws 5 14
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Alba vs Gozzano
1:1
Sep 10, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Alba
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alba Compare

Top Goalscorer Beye DIeye M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Gozzano Compare

Top Goalscorer Schimmenti E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alba 41 / 100
Gozzano 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alba Gozzano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alba's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Gozzano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Alba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gozzano
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alba

(Home)
12 May
Derthona FbC
3 : 0
Alba
05 May
Pinerolo
0 : 2
Alba
28 Apr
Alba
0 : 1
Derthona FbC
21 Apr
PDHA
1 : 2
Alba
14 Apr
Alba
3 : 3
AC Chieri
Page 1 of 6

Gozzano

(Away)
16 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
12 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 0
Gozzano
06 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0
GSD Lascaris
12 Aug
Pro Patria
3 : 1
Gozzano
10 May
Derthona FbC
1 : 2
Gozzano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcione Milano 38 23 10 5 70:27 79
2 Chisola 38 21 9 8 64:37 72
3 Varese FC 38 18 12 8 49:33 66
4 Vado 38 17 14 7 51:28 65
5 NovaRomentin 38 18 11 9 58:38 65
6 Bra 38 18 11 9 47:30 65
7 Ligorna 38 17 12 9 44:37 63
8 Asti Calcio 38 16 11 11 42:33 59
9 Albenga 38 15 15 8 51:33 58
10 Sanremese 38 13 13 12 34:33 52
11 Fezzanese 38 14 9 15 42:50 51
12 Gozzano 38 10 15 13 35:38 45
13 Lavagnese 38 11 11 16 46:47 44
14 Vogherese 38 10 12 16 42:57 42
15 Derthona FbC 38 9 14 15 34:52 41
16 AC Chieri 38 8 15 15 39:52 39
17 Pinerolo 38 8 13 17 25:44 37
18 Alba 38 10 7 21 39:63 37
19 PDHA 38 5 7 26 25:63 22
20 Borgosesia Calcio 38 5 7 26 25:67 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)