Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Albacete B vs UD Talavera

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Albacete B in this Tercera Division - Group 18 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Albacete B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Albacete B
30%
Draws
31%
UD Talavera
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Albacete B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Albacete B have won more games recently than UD Talavera.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Albacete B taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Albacete B have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Albacete B Clean Sheet 20%
UD Talavera Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albacete B UD Talavera
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 9 3
Losses 7 21
Goals Scored 1.3 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.77 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Albacete B vs UD Talavera
2:0
Oct 14, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Talavera vs Albacete B
2:3
Apr 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Albacete B vs UD Talavera
2:0
Nov 27, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Talavera vs Albacete B
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albacete B 58 / 100
UD Talavera 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albacete B UD Talavera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Albacete B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: UD Talavera conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Albacete B scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Albacete B went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Albacete B VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Albacete B

(Home)
27 Sept
Albacete B
2 : 2
Atletico Paso
20 Sept
Valladolid Promesas
6 : 1
Albacete B
12 Sept
Albacete B
4 : 3
Atletico Tordesillas
06 Sept
Real Madrid C
0 : 0
Albacete B
22 Aug
Albacete B
0 : 1
Ilicitano
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UD Talavera

(Away)
20 Aug
UD Talavera
0 : 3
Puebla de la Calzada
18 May
UD Talavera
2 : 2
UD Almansa
12 May
Madridejos
2 : 3
UD Talavera
04 May
UD Talavera
1 : 3
Illescas
27 Apr
Hellin Deportivo
2 : 0
UD Talavera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villarrobledo 38 26 8 4 67:26 86
2 UD Almansa 38 18 13 7 56:26 67
3 Azuqueca 38 19 10 9 64:39 67
4 Albacete B 38 18 13 7 60:25 67
5 Illescas 38 19 9 10 54:36 66
6 Villarrubia 38 19 9 10 69:44 66
7 Alcazar 38 18 10 10 50:34 64
8 Quintanar del Rey 38 15 9 14 57:60 54
9 Madridejos 38 13 14 11 50:49 53
10 Marchamalo 38 11 12 15 50:51 45
11 Torrijos 38 12 9 17 42:59 45
12 Manzanares 38 10 14 14 46:51 44
13 Hellin Deportivo 38 9 17 12 37:48 44
14 UD Talavera 38 10 13 15 40:46 43
15 Atletico Ibanes 38 9 16 13 35:57 43
16 Socuellamos 38 10 10 18 48:58 40
17 Tomelloso 38 11 7 20 43:57 40
18 La Gineta 38 11 6 21 41:63 39
19 CD Carranque 38 8 9 21 23:63 30
20 Puertollano B 38 7 6 25 38:78 27
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)