Sport Picks
Match Events
34'
34'
Ndoye M.
45'
45'
Persichini L.
72'
72'
Persichini L.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Albalonga in this Coppa Italia Serie D 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
35%
38%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aquila Calcio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Albalonga haven't matched Aquila Calcio's recent run of results.
- Aquila Calcio are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Aquila Calcio arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Albalonga, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Albalonga Clean Sheet 15%
Aquila Calcio Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Albalonga | Aquila Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 8, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Albalonga vs Aquila Calcio
2:1
Mar 26, 2017 Serie D - Group G
Aquila Calcio vs Albalonga
3:1
Nov 13, 2016 Serie D - Group G
Albalonga vs Aquila Calcio
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Albalonga Compare
Top Goalscorer Persichini L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Aquila Calcio Compare
Top Goalscorer Ndoye M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Albalonga 27 / 100
Aquila Calcio 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Albalonga Aquila Calcio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aquila Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.67 goals.
Albalonga scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Albalonga has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Aquila Calcio has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Albalonga VS Aquila Calcio
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Albalonga
(Home) 27 Sept
Monastir
2 : 2 Albalonga
20 Sept
Albalonga
1 : 1 Sarrabus Ogliastra
16 Sept
Aranova
1 : 0 Albalonga
12 Sept
Albalonga
3 : 1 Citta di Anagni
06 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 3 Albalonga
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Albalonga
1 : 1 Sarrabus Ogliastra
12 Sept
Albalonga
3 : 1 Citta di Anagni
03 May
Albalonga
1 : 4 Scafatese
18 Apr
Albalonga
1 : 1 Monastir
02 Apr
Albalonga
4 : 0 Ischia
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Aquila Calcio
(Away) 27 Sept
Aquila Calcio
2 : 0 Teramo
20 Sept
Ancona
2 : 2 Aquila Calcio
16 Sept
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0 Atletico Ascoli
12 Sept
Fossombrone
0 : 4 Aquila Calcio
06 Sept
Aquila Calcio
1 : 0 Termoli
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Ancona
2 : 2 Aquila Calcio
12 Sept
Fossombrone
0 : 4 Aquila Calcio
01 Aug
Pineto
0 : 1 Aquila Calcio
03 May
Termoli
1 : 1 Aquila Calcio
19 Apr
Ostiamare
2 : 1 Aquila Calcio
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Asti Calcio 2
Chisola 0
Ligorna 1
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 3
Sestri Levante 0
Tau 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
SCD Progresso 1
Pavia 2
Sant'Angelo 0
Prato 2
Montevarchi 1
Correggese 2
Imolese 1
Sondrio 1
Breno 0
Folgore Caratese 2
Club Milano 3
AC Milan U23 2
Varesina 3
Brusaporto 0
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Chievo 0
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Vigasio 2
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Brian Lignano 2
Luparense FC 0
Mestre 1
Fossombrone 0
Ancona 1
Foligno 0
Atletico Ascoli 2
Orvietana 2
Siena 0
Follonica Gavorrano 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Termoli 0
Albalonga 2
Aquila Calcio 1
Grosseto 0
Unipomezia 1
Trastevere Calcio 2
Budoni Calcio 0
Martina Calcio 3
Sarnese 1
Ferrandina 2
Francavilla 3
A.C. Savoia 2
Paganese 1
Citta di Fasano 3
Gravina 0
Nocerina 4
Gelbison 2
Sambiase 0
Reggina 1
Castrumfavara 3
Igea Virtus 1
Enna 0
Sancataldese 2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio 3
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 0
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
Pavia 1
Prato 1
Correggese 4
Sondrio 0
Club Milano 3
Varesina 4
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Brian Lignano 0
Mestre 1
Ancona 1
Atletico Ascoli 0
Orvietana 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Albalonga 1
Unipomezia 3
Trastevere Calcio 1
Martina Calcio 1
Francavilla 2
A.C. Savoia 3
Citta di Fasano 4
Nocerina 3
Reggina 2
Castrumfavara 3
Sancataldese 2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 0
Correggese 1
Club Milano 1
Varesina 0
Este 1
Mestre 2
Ancona 2
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 3
Citta di Fasano 2
Nocerina 2
Castrumfavara 0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese 2
Correggese 0
Club Milano 1
Mestre 0
Ancona 2
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 1
Nocerina 0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese 3
Club Milano 1
Ancona 2
Francavilla 1
Final
Pistoiese 3
Ancona 0
