Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Meneghini F.
45'
45'
Bokoko M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group G game between Albalonga and Sarrabus Ogliastra finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Albalonga
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Albalonga carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Albalonga a 41% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Albalonga Clean Sheet 68%
Sarrabus Ogliastra Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Albalonga | Sarrabus Ogliastra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Albalonga vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Albalonga
3:0
Nov 1, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Albalonga vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Albalonga Compare
Top Goalscorer Bokoko M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Sarrabus Ogliastra Compare
Top Goalscorer Meneghini F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Albalonga 50 / 100
Sarrabus Ogliastra 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Albalonga Sarrabus Ogliastra
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Albalonga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.
Albalonga's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Sarrabus Ogliastra conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
Recent resilience: Albalonga stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Albalonga VS Sarrabus Ogliastra
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Albalonga
(Home) 20 Sept
Albalonga
1 : 1 Sarrabus Ogliastra
16 Sept
Aranova
1 : 0 Albalonga
12 Sept
Albalonga
3 : 1 Citta di Anagni
06 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 3 Albalonga
10 May
Trastevere Calcio
2 : 0 Albalonga
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Albalonga
1 : 1 Sarrabus Ogliastra
12 Sept
Albalonga
3 : 1 Citta di Anagni
03 May
Albalonga
1 : 4 Scafatese
18 Apr
Albalonga
1 : 1 Monastir
02 Apr
Albalonga
4 : 0 Ischia
Page 1 of 3
Sarrabus Ogliastra
(Away) 20 Sept
Albalonga
1 : 1 Sarrabus Ogliastra
16 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 2 Certosa V. Campagnano
13 Sept
Anzio Calcio 1924
0 : 1 Sarrabus Ogliastra
06 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
1 : 2 Monastir
03 May
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2 Olbia
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Albalonga
1 : 1 Sarrabus Ogliastra
13 Sept
Anzio Calcio 1924
0 : 1 Sarrabus Ogliastra
26 Apr
Valmontone
0 : 1 Sarrabus Ogliastra
19 Apr
Real Monterotondo
2 : 1 Sarrabus Ogliastra
02 Apr
Cassino
1 : 1 Sarrabus Ogliastra
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paganese | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Sarnese | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Certosa V. Campagnano | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:1 | 9 |
| 4 | Monastir | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:6 | 9 |
| 5 | Unipomezia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 6 | Albalonga | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Ossese | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Trastevere Calcio | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:8 | 7 |
| 9 | Afragolese | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 10 | Aranova | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 11 | Budoni Calcio | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 12 | Anzio Calcio 1924 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 13 | Gelbison | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 14 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 15 | Citta di Anagni | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:10 | 3 |
| 16 | Latte Dolce | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | 1 |
| 17 | Atl. Lodigiani | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:11 | 1 |
| 18 | US Venafro | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:7 | 1 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group G (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G (Play Out)
