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Albalonga vs Scafatese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Calzone S.
45' Event
Ingretolli C.
55' Event
Convitto R.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G game between Albalonga and Scafatese finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Scafatese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Albalonga
20%
Draws
57%
Scafatese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Scafatese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Scafatese come out ahead of Albalonga on wins alone.
  • Model gives Scafatese a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Albalonga Clean Sheet 10%
Scafatese Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albalonga Scafatese
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 13 26
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 2
Goals Scored 1.14 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.86 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.14 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.86 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Albalonga vs Scafatese
1:4
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Scafatese vs Albalonga
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albalonga Compare

Top Goalscorer Ingretolli C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Scafatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Calzone S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Convitto R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albalonga 10 / 100
Scafatese 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albalonga Scafatese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Albalonga found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Scafatese has conceded goals in 53% of their last 34 outings.

Albalonga has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Albalonga VS Scafatese
1.14 Goals Scored 2.38
1.86 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Albalonga

(Home)
10 May
Trastevere Calcio
2 : 0
Albalonga
03 May
Albalonga
1 : 4
Scafatese
26 Apr
Trastevere Calcio
3 : 0
Albalonga
18 Apr
Albalonga
1 : 1
Monastir
12 Apr
Flaminia
1 : 2
Albalonga
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Scafatese

(Away)
04 Aug
Teramo
1 : 1
Scafatese
28 Jul
Pineto
1 : 4
Scafatese
22 Jul
Avellino
3 : 1
Scafatese
06 Jun
Vado
0 : 6
Scafatese
31 May
Scafatese
1 : 0
Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G (Play Out)