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Stadium Background

Albania U21 vs Moldova U21

World World

Friendly International 2024 Vora Stadium, Vora
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Rashica E.
(Penalty)
18'
Rotaru N.
46'
Sub
Aliji E. In: Daka D.
Out: Aliji E.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Albania U21 and Moldova U21 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Albania U21
35%
Draws
40%
Moldova U21
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Moldova U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Albania U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Albania U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Moldova U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albania U21 Moldova U21
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 6
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.38 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2025 Friendly International
Moldova U21 vs Albania U21
0:1
Nov 18, 2024 Friendly International
Albania U21 vs Moldova U21
4:0
Nov 15, 2024 Friendly International
Albania U21 vs Moldova U21
1:1
Mar 27, 2017 Friendly International
Albania U21 vs Moldova U21
2:0
Mar 25, 2017 Friendly International
Albania U21 vs Moldova U21
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albania U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Moldova U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Costin V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albania U21 32 / 100
Moldova U21 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albania U21 Moldova U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Moldova U21 conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Albania U21's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Albania U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Albania U21 VS Moldova U21
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Albania U21

(Home)
26 Aug
Algeria U21
2 : 0
Albania U21
24 Aug
Albania U21
3 : 1
Kosovo U21
22 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 1
Albania U21
08 Jun
Italy U21
1 : 0
Albania U21
05 Jun
Slovenia U21
1 : 1
Albania U21
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Moldova U21

(Away)
09 Jun
Moldova U21
3 : 2
Georgia U21
04 Jun
Moldova U21
3 : 0
Malta U21
31 Mar
England U21
4 : 1
Moldova U21
26 Mar
Ireland U21
1 : 1
Moldova U21
17 Nov
Kazakhstan U21
1 : 1
Moldova U21
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