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Albany Creek vs Acacia Ridge

Australia Australia

Brisbane Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Shaughnessy R.
33' Event
Russell A.
(Penalty)
39' Event
Cartman J.

AI Match Summary

Albany Creek in this Brisbane Premier League matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Albany Creek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Albany Creek
6%
Draws
90%
Acacia Ridge
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Acacia Ridge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Albany Creek lately — more wins on the board than Acacia Ridge.
  • Model gives Acacia Ridge a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Albany Creek have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Albany Creek Clean Sheet 20%
Acacia Ridge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albany Creek Acacia Ridge
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 17 15
Draws 5 3
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2021 Brisbane Premier League
Albany Creek vs Acacia Ridge
4:1
Apr 17, 2021 Brisbane Premier League
Acacia Ridge vs Albany Creek
0:9
Sep 27, 2020 Brisbane Premier League
Acacia Ridge vs Albany Creek
0:3
Apr 18, 2020 Brisbane Premier League
Albany Creek vs Acacia Ridge
0:0
Jun 22, 2019 Brisbane Premier League
Acacia Ridge vs Albany Creek
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albany Creek Compare

Top Goalscorer Shaughnessy R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cartman J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Acacia Ridge Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albany Creek 10 / 100
Acacia Ridge 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albany Creek Acacia Ridge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Albany Creek found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (33 games).

Acacia Ridge has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Albany Creek went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Albany Creek VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Albany Creek

(Home)
03 Sept
Capalaba FC
3 : 5
Albany Creek
26 Aug
Albany Creek
0 : 3
Surfers Paradise Apollo
13 Aug
Albany Creek
2 : 1
Western Pride
30 Jul
Wynnum Wolves
2 : 1
Albany Creek
22 Jul
Albany Creek
0 : 2
Sunshine Coast
Page 1 of 7

Acacia Ridge

(Away)
02 Oct
Acacia Ridge
4 : 2
Toowong City
25 Sept
Acacia Ridge
2 : 1
Centenary Stormers
18 Sept
The Gap
0 : 1
Acacia Ridge
11 Sept
Acacia Ridge
4 : 1
Western Spirit FC
04 Sept
Univ. of Queensland
2 : 2
Acacia Ridge
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Albany Creek221930102:1860
2Bayside United22142648:2544
3The Lakes FC22133660:4542
4St. George Willawong22122856:3938
5Gravatt22103938:4133
6Acacia Ridge22103942:4733
7Toowong City2295847:4632
8Univ. of Queensland22731227:4624
9Centenary Stormers22651130:4923
10The Gap22451319:4417
11Western Spirit FC22441436:7016
12Brisbane Knights22421629:6414
Promotion - Brisbane Premier League (Play Offs)