Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Albenga vs Asti Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Kean Dosse G.
50' Event
Lattanzi G.
89' Event
Diop M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 game between Albenga and Asti Calcio finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Asti Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Albenga
15%
Draws
85%
Asti Calcio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Asti Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Asti Calcio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 0% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Albenga Clean Sheet 20%
Asti Calcio Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albenga Asti Calcio
Matches Played 19 30
Wins 1 8
Draws 0 9
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.37 0.97
Goals Conceded 3.37 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Albenga vs Asti Calcio
1:2
Oct 2, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs Albenga
0:1
Jan 17, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Albenga vs Asti Calcio
1:1
Sep 20, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs Albenga
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albenga Compare

Top Goalscorer Lattanzi G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Asti Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Kean Dosse G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diop M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albenga 31 / 100
Asti Calcio 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albenga Asti Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Albenga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Asti Calcio let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Albenga scored in 32% of their last 19 games.

Away concern: Asti Calcio has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Asti Calcio
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Albenga

(Home)
09 Feb
Albenga
0 : 7
Vado
02 Feb
Derthona FbC
2 : 1
Albenga
29 Jan
Albenga
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
26 Jan
Saluzzo
5 : 0
Albenga
19 Jan
Albenga
0 : 1
Borgaro
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Asti Calcio

(Away)
27 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 0
Asti Calcio
20 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 2
Valenzana
16 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
12 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 0
Gozzano
06 Sept
Sestri Levante
2 : 0
Asti Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)