Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Albenga vs Cairese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Sun, Apr 13, 2025
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Albenga host Cairese in the Serie D - Group A 2024/2025. Cairese go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Albenga at 0.37 goals for, 3.37 against; Cairese at 0.87 for, 0.87 against. Past meetings favor Cairese slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 13, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.97 - 1.05) back Cairese to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Albenga
15%
Draws
85%
Cairese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cairese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Cairese have won more games recently than Albenga.
  • 0% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Albenga Clean Sheet 20%
Cairese Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albenga Cairese
Matches Played 19 31
Wins 1 10
Draws 0 10
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.37 0.87
Goals Conceded 3.37 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Albenga vs Cairese
0:0
Dec 1, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Cairese vs Albenga
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albenga 31 / 100
Cairese 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albenga Cairese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Albenga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cairese conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Away concern: Cairese has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Albenga's goal record stands at 32% scoring rate across 19 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cairese
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Albenga

(Home)
09 Feb
Albenga
0 : 7
Vado
02 Feb
Derthona FbC
2 : 1
Albenga
29 Jan
Albenga
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
26 Jan
Saluzzo
5 : 0
Albenga
19 Jan
Albenga
0 : 1
Borgaro
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Cairese

(Away)
10 May
Cairese
0 : 1
Asti Calcio
03 May
Gozzano
1 : 0
Cairese
26 Apr
Cairese
4 : 0
Valenzana
19 Apr
Vado
2 : 0
Cairese
12 Apr
Cairese
0 : 1
Club Milano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)