Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Albergaria/Durit W vs Damaiense W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 Estádio do Mergulhão, Nogueira do Cravo
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Ribeiro A.
50' Event
Mateus T.
Assist: Contente M.
61'
Sub
Contente M. In: Torslov A.
Out: Contente M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 game between Albergaria/Durit W and Damaiense W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Damaiense W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Albergaria/Durit W
20%
Draws
64%
Damaiense W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Damaiense W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Damaiense W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Damaiense W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Albergaria/Durit W Clean Sheet 20%
Damaiense W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albergaria/Durit W Damaiense W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 3 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 21 21
Goals Scored 0.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.23 2.39
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Albergaria/Durit W vs Damaiense W
0:1
Sep 14, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Damaiense W vs Albergaria/Durit W
1:0
Feb 4, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Damaiense W vs Albergaria/Durit W
1:0
Oct 1, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Albergaria/Durit W vs Damaiense W
2:1
Mar 26, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Damaiense W vs Albergaria/Durit W
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albergaria/Durit W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

Damaiense W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mateus T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albergaria/Durit W 10 / 100
Damaiense W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albergaria/Durit W Damaiense W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Damaiense W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Damaiense W has conceded goals in 88% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Damaiense W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Albergaria/Durit W found the back of the net in 27% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Albergaria/Durit W VS Damaiense W
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Albergaria/Durit W

(Home)
30 May
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 0
Maritimo W
24 May
Maritimo W
1 : 0
Albergaria/Durit W
10 May
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 2
Torreense W
03 May
SL Benfica W
5 : 0
Albergaria/Durit W
12 Apr
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 6
Sporting W
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Damaiense W

(Away)
10 May
Torreense W
3 : 1
Damaiense W
03 May
Damaiense W
1 : 2
Maritimo W
25 Apr
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 3
Damaiense W
05 Apr
Rio Ave W
2 : 0
Damaiense W
28 Mar
Damaiense W
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SL Benfica W 22 20 2 0 65:10 62
2 Sporting W 22 17 3 2 66:9 54
3 Braga W 22 13 3 6 51:17 42
4 Torreense W 22 13 2 7 46:22 41
5 Valadares Gaia W 22 12 2 8 44:24 38
6 Racing Power W 22 9 7 6 35:23 34
7 Maritimo W 22 9 3 10 28:26 30
8 Damaiense W 22 8 2 12 22:29 26
9 Famalicao W 22 7 2 13 32:54 23
10 Estoril Praia W 22 5 4 13 28:49 19
11 Albergaria/Durit W 22 3 2 17 13:60 11
12 Vilaverdense W 22 0 0 22 4:111 0
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)