Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Albergaria/Durit W vs SL Benfica W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 Estádio do Mergulhão, Nogueira do Cravo
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Martins L.
Assist: Raysla N.
26'
Costa M.
31'
Lais Araujo

AI Match Summary

SL Benfica W in this Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored SL Benfica W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Albergaria/Durit W
6%
Draws
90%
SL Benfica W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: SL Benfica W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Albergaria/Durit W haven't matched SL Benfica W's recent run of results.
  • SL Benfica W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • SL Benfica W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Albergaria/Durit W Clean Sheet 15%
SL Benfica W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albergaria/Durit W SL Benfica W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 23
Draws 6 4
Losses 21 5
Goals Scored 0 2.63
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2025 Liga BPI Women
SL Benfica W vs Albergaria/Durit W
5:0
Dec 22, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Albergaria/Durit W vs SL Benfica W
1:3
Mar 3, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Albergaria/Durit W vs SL Benfica W
0:6
Oct 14, 2023 Liga BPI Women
SL Benfica W vs Albergaria/Durit W
4:0
Feb 4, 2023 Liga BPI Women
SL Benfica W vs Albergaria/Durit W
9:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albergaria/Durit W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigues M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SL Benfica W Compare

Top Goalscorer Martins L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cameirao B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albergaria/Durit W 10 / 100
SL Benfica W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albergaria/Durit W SL Benfica W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SLB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.60 goals when they meet.

SL Benfica W let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Albergaria/Durit W found the back of the net in 27% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Albergaria/Durit W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Albergaria/Durit W VS SL Benfica W
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Albergaria/Durit W

(Home)
30 May
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 0
Maritimo W
24 May
Maritimo W
1 : 0
Albergaria/Durit W
10 May
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 2
Torreense W
03 May
SL Benfica W
5 : 0
Albergaria/Durit W
12 Apr
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 6
Sporting W
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SL Benfica W

(Away)
17 May
SL Benfica W
2 : 0
FC Porto W
10 May
Rio Ave W
0 : 1
SL Benfica W
01 May
SL Benfica W
3 : 1
Sporting W
25 Apr
Braga W
1 : 3
SL Benfica W
05 Apr
SL Benfica W
2 : 0
Torreense W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SL Benfica W22202065:1062
2Sporting W22173266:954
3Braga W22133651:1742
4Torreense W22132746:2241
5Valadares Gaia W22122844:2438
6Racing Power W2297635:2334
7Maritimo W22931028:2630
8Damaiense W22821222:2926
9Famalicao W22721332:5423
10Estoril Praia W22541328:4919
11Albergaria/Durit W22321713:6011
12Vilaverdense W2200224:1110
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)