Sport Picks

Latvia

Latvian Cup 2025 Upesciems pilsētas stadions, Upesciems

Alberts JDFS

5 - 3

FK Smiltene

Our Tip

Match Events

17'

Spade M.

22'

Stipnieks E.

23'

Viksna H.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Alberts JDFS in this Latvian Cup 2025 tie, finishing 5-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Alberts JDFS

Draws

FK Smiltene

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alberts JDFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

FK Smiltene haven't matched Alberts JDFS's recent run of results.
Alberts JDFS are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Alberts JDFS have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Alberts JDFS, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Alberts JDFS have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

Alberts JDFS Clean Sheet 68%

FK Smiltene Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Alberts JDFS	FK Smiltene
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	18	4
Draws	6	7
Losses	7	18
Goals Scored	2.5	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.63	2.13
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Nakotnes liga

FK Smiltene vs Alberts JDFS

2:3

Jul 27, 2025 Nakotnes liga

FK Smiltene vs Alberts JDFS

2:4

Jun 1, 2025 Latvian Cup

Alberts JDFS vs FK Smiltene

5:3

Mar 29, 2025 Nakotnes liga

Alberts JDFS vs FK Smiltene

2:1

Aug 3, 2024 Nakotnes liga

FK Smiltene vs Alberts JDFS

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alberts JDFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Brahmanis M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Spade M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.92

Avg xA / game 1.25

FK Smiltene Compare

Top Goalscorer Stipnieks E.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Jansons E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alberts JDFS 95 / 100

FK Smiltene 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Alberts JDFS FK Smiltene

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALB Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Alberts JDFS scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

FK Smiltene let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Alberts JDFS has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alberts JDFS VS FK Smiltene

2.5 Goals Scored 1.25

1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13

75% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 50%

75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alberts JDFS

(Home)

18 Jul

JFK Ventspils

1 : 3

Alberts JDFS

04 Jul

Alberts JDFS

0 : 4

Riga Mariners

27 Jun

Rezekne

2 : 4

Alberts JDFS

20 Jun

Riga Mariners

1 : 0

Alberts JDFS

13 Jun

Alberts JDFS

0 : 0

Leevon PPK

Page 1 of 7

FK Smiltene

(Away)

04 Jul

Marupe

2 : 1

FK Smiltene

28 Jun

FK Smiltene

2 : 4

Skanste

22 Jun

FK Smiltene

1 : 4

Valmiera

14 Jun

Riga FC 2

2 : 0

FK Smiltene

30 May

LSPA

1 : 5

FK Smiltene

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Jelgava-

TBD-

RFS-

Speks-

TBD-

FK Alberts-

Riga United-

TBD-

SK Babite-

Iecava-

TBD-

Kekava-Auda-

TBD-

Marupe-

TBD-

FK Metta-

FK Auda Riga-

TBD-

Grobina-

Livani-

TBD-

JFC Viola-

TBD-

Skanste-

Alberts JDFS-

TBD-

FK Smiltene-

TBD-

Super Nova-

Riga FC-

TBD-

Tukums 2000-

Kuivizu Spartaks-

TBD-

Upesciema Warriors-

TBD-

Riga Mariners-

Valmiera8

FK Limbazi0

TBD-

FK Cesis-

TBD-

Ogre United-

Plavinas-

TBD-

Namejs-

Rigas Futbola Skola-

TBD-

Bauskas / Memele-

AFA Olaine-

TBD-

Augsdaugavas-

RSU-

TBD-

LSPA-

Kuldigas/Goldingen-

TBD-

Salaspils FK-

Dienvidkurzemes-

TBD-

DSVK Traktors-

TBD-

Leevon PPK-

TBD-

BFC Daugavpils-

FK Union / JFK Daugava-

TBD-

Lielupe-

TBD-

Rezekne-

Talsi1

Aliance5

TBD-

Valka-

TBD-

JFK Ventspils-

TBD-

FK Liepaja-

1/64-finals

Jelgava-

TBD-

RFS-

Speks4

FK Alberts3

Riga United6

SK Babite0

Iecava1

Kekava-Auda2

TBD-

Marupe-

TBD-

FK Metta-

FK Auda Riga-

TBD-

Grobina-

Livani4

JFC Viola0

TBD-

Skanste-

Alberts JDFS-

TBD-

FK Smiltene-

TBD-

Super Nova-

Riga FC-

TBD-

Tukums 2000-

Kuivizu Spartaks0

Upesciema Warriors5

TBD-

Riga Mariners-

Valmiera6

FK Cesis0

TBD-

Ogre United-

Plavinas4

Namejs0

Rigas Futbola Skola8

Bauskas / Memele0

AFA Olaine-

TBD-

Augsdaugavas-

RSU5

LSPA1

Kuldigas/Goldingen2

Salaspils FK3

Dienvidkurzemes3

DSVK Traktors0

TBD-

Leevon PPK-

TBD-

BFC Daugavpils-

FK Union / JFK Daugava5

Lielupe0

TBD-

Rezekne-

Aliance9

Valka1

TBD-

JFK Ventspils-

TBD-

FK Liepaja-

1/32-finals

Jelgava-

TBD-

RFS-

Speks0

Riga United3

Kekava-Auda0

Marupe3

TBD-

FK Metta-

FK Auda Riga-

TBD-

Grobina-

Livani0

Skanste5

Alberts JDFS5

FK Smiltene3

TBD-

Super Nova-

Riga FC-

TBD-

Tukums 2000-

Upesciema Warriors0

Riga Mariners3

Valmiera4

Ogre United3

Plavinas3

Rigas Futbola Skola2

AFA Olaine3

Augsdaugavas1

RSU0

Salaspils FK6

Dienvidkurzemes1

Leevon PPK2

TBD-

BFC Daugavpils-

FK Union / JFK Daugava4

Rezekne0

Aliance0

JFK Ventspils6

TBD-

FK Liepaja-

1/16-finals

Jelgava-

TBD-

RFS-

Riga United0

Marupe3

TBD-

FK Metta-

FK Auda Riga-

TBD-

Grobina-

Skanste1

Alberts JDFS2

TBD-

Super Nova-

Riga FC-

TBD-

Tukums 2000-

Riga Mariners4

Valmiera3

Plavinas3

AFA Olaine5

Salaspils FK4

Leevon PPK5

TBD-

BFC Daugavpils-

FK Union / JFK Daugava1

JFK Ventspils3

TBD-

FK Liepaja-

1/8-finals

Jelgava0

RFS1

Marupe1

FK Metta4

FK Auda Riga1

Grobina0

Alberts JDFS1

Super Nova3

Riga FC4

Tukums 20000

Riga Mariners6

AFA Olaine1

Leevon PPK2

BFC Daugavpils4

JFK Ventspils0

FK Liepaja2

Quarter-finals

RFS3

FK Metta2

FK Auda Riga3

Super Nova1

Riga FC10

Riga Mariners0

BFC Daugavpils1

FK Liepaja2

Semi-finals

RFS0

FK Auda Riga2

Riga FC4

FK Liepaja0

Final

FK Auda Riga2

Riga FC1