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Alberts JDFS vs Tukums 2000 2

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Jassey S.
45' Event
Prohorenkovs M.
59' Event
Jassey S.

AI Match Summary

The Nakotnes liga game between Alberts JDFS and Tukums 2000 2 finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alberts JDFS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Alberts JDFS
6%
Draws
4%
Tukums 2000 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alberts JDFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tukums 2000 2 haven't matched Alberts JDFS's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Alberts JDFS a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Alberts JDFS have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Alberts JDFS Clean Sheet 19%
Tukums 2000 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alberts JDFS Tukums 2000 2
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 6
Draws 6 3
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 2.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Nakotnes liga
Alberts JDFS vs Tukums 2000 2
6:1
Oct 25, 2025 Nakotnes liga
Alberts JDFS vs Tukums 2000 2
4:3
Jun 29, 2025 Nakotnes liga
Tukums 2000 2 vs Alberts JDFS
1:2
Oct 19, 2024 Nakotnes liga
Alberts JDFS vs Tukums 2000 2
4:1
Jun 30, 2024 Nakotnes liga
Tukums 2000 2 vs Alberts JDFS
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alberts JDFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Prohorenkovs M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Jassey S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Tukums 2000 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Atligins I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alberts JDFS 85 / 100
Tukums 2000 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alberts JDFS Tukums 2000 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alberts JDFS found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Tukums 2000 2 conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

Alberts JDFS has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alberts JDFS VS Tukums 2000 2
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Metta13111146:1134
2Valmiera13102135:1232
3Riga Mariners1384126:1228
4Leevon PPK1383222:1627
5Alberts JDFS1372428:2123
6Marupe1361622:1919
7Super Nova 21254319:1719
8Riga FC 21251619:2216
9Skanste1341820:2713
10JFK Ventspils1324716:2310
11RFS 21223715:269
12Tukums 2000 21222816:318
13Rezekne1212910:365
14FK Smiltene1204812:334