Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alberts JDFS vs Valmiera

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Lopes G.
Assist: Abe W.
79' Event
Buss R.
Assist: Lopes G.
90' Event
Jassey S.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga game between Alberts JDFS and Valmiera finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valmiera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Alberts JDFS
15%
Draws
44%
Valmiera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valmiera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Valmiera carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Valmiera taking it.
  • Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Alberts JDFS Clean Sheet 10%
Valmiera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alberts JDFS Valmiera
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 21
Draws 6 3
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.97 2.83
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 1. Liga
Alberts JDFS vs Valmiera
1:2
May 9, 2026 1. Liga
Valmiera vs Alberts JDFS
1:1
Oct 7, 2017 1. Liga
Valmiera vs Alberts JDFS
0:0
Jun 17, 2017 1. Liga
Alberts JDFS vs Valmiera
0:3
Aug 13, 2016 1. Liga
Alberts JDFS vs Valmiera
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alberts JDFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Jassey S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Valmiera Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopes G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Buss R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alberts JDFS 22 / 100
Valmiera 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alberts JDFS Valmiera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valmiera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alberts JDFS's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Valmiera has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Alberts JDFS has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alberts JDFS VS Valmiera
1.88 Goals Scored 3.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Alberts JDFS

(Home)
12 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 2
Valmiera
05 Sept
Alberts JDFS
3 : 2
FK Smiltene
29 Aug
Marupe
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
22 Aug
RFS 2
1 : 3
Alberts JDFS
08 Aug
Alberts JDFS
2 : 0
Riga FC 2
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Valmiera

(Away)
12 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 2
Valmiera
05 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 2
FK Metta
30 Aug
Rezekne
1 : 6
Valmiera
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
08 Aug
FK Smiltene
1 : 4
Valmiera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 20 16 3 1 58:19 51
2 FK Metta 20 16 3 1 86:16 51
3 Leevon PPK 20 14 4 2 37:22 46
4 Riga Mariners 20 13 5 2 46:21 44
5 Alberts JDFS 20 11 4 5 41:28 37
6 Marupe 20 9 1 10 34:32 28
7 Skanste 20 8 2 10 43:41 26
8 Riga FC 2 20 7 4 9 29:37 25
9 Super Nova 2 20 6 7 7 28:30 25
10 RFS 2 20 4 3 13 31:56 15
11 FK Smiltene 20 3 4 13 27:57 13
12 JFK Ventspils 19 2 6 11 20:40 12
13 Tukums 2000 2 19 3 3 13 23:59 12
14 Rezekne 20 1 3 16 16:61 6
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