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Albion Rovers vs Caledonian Braves

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Neeson C.
Assist: Eguagie O.
88' Event
Duncan B.

AI Match Summary

Albion Rovers in this Lowland League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Albion Rovers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Albion Rovers
15%
Draws
59%
Caledonian Braves
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caledonian Braves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Caledonian Braves lately — more wins on the board than Albion Rovers.
  • Caledonian Braves are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Lowland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Albion Rovers Clean Sheet 10%
Caledonian Braves Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albion Rovers Caledonian Braves
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 17
Draws 3 3
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.13 2.69
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Lowland League
Albion Rovers vs Caledonian Braves
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 Lowland League
Caledonian Braves vs Albion Rovers
3:4
Jan 17, 2026 Lowland League
Albion Rovers vs Caledonian Braves
0:3
Mar 1, 2025 Lowland League
Caledonian Braves vs Albion Rovers
1:3
Aug 3, 2024 Lowland League
Albion Rovers vs Caledonian Braves
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albion Rovers Compare

Top Goalscorer Neeson C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Duncan B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Caledonian Braves Compare

Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albion Rovers 10 / 100
Caledonian Braves 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albion Rovers Caledonian Braves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caledonian Braves Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Caledonian Braves let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Albion Rovers scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Albion Rovers went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Albion Rovers VS Caledonian Braves
1.13 Goals Scored 3
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Albion Rovers

(Home)
26 Sept
Pollok
5 : 1
Albion Rovers
19 Sept
Albion Rovers
2 : 1
Cumbernauld Colts
15 Sept
Albion Rovers
0 : 3
Kilwinning Rangers
12 Sept
Beith
1 : 1
Albion Rovers
22 Aug
Albion Rovers
1 : 3
Auchinleck Talbot
Page 1 of 6

Caledonian Braves

(Away)
26 Sept
Caledonian Braves
5 : 0
Newton Stewart
15 Sept
Clydebank FC
4 : 2
Caledonian Braves
12 Sept
Auchinleck Talbot
3 : 1
Caledonian Braves
29 Aug
Caledonian Braves
5 : 2
Kilwinning Rangers
22 Aug
Renfrew
1 : 3
Caledonian Braves
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 9 8 1 0 18:5 25
2 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
3 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
4 Broxburn Athletic 9 7 1 1 15:8 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 10 5 2 3 25:18 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
14 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
15 Renfrew 10 2 1 7 18:29 7
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)