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Albion vs Club Nacional Prediction & H2H Stats

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo
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Match Events

8' Event
Lopez A.
(Penalty)
17' Event
Airala C.
Assist: Lopez A.
32' Event
De Los Santos J.

AI Match Summary

Albion in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Albion.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Albion
30%
Draws
51%
Club Nacional
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Club Nacional

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Club Nacional lately — more wins on the board than Albion.
  • Win probability leans Club Nacional's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Albion Clean Sheet 16%
Club Nacional Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albion Club Nacional
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.24 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2026 Copa Uruguay
Club Nacional vs Albion
0:0
May 23, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Club Nacional vs Albion
1:0
May 3, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Albion vs Club Nacional
3:2
Oct 13, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Albion vs Club Nacional
0:1
May 21, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Club Nacional vs Albion
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albion Compare

Top Goalscorer Airala C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Club Nacional Compare

Top Goalscorer De Los Santos J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rogel A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albion 15 / 100
Club Nacional 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albion Club Nacional

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Club Nacional Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Albion scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Club Nacional's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Albion remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Albion VS Club Nacional
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Albion

(Home)
03 Oct
Albion
3 : 2
Defensor Sp.
28 Sept
Wanderers
2 : 1
Albion
20 Sept
Albion
1 : 3
Juventud
16 Sept
Albion
0 : 0
River Plate Montevideo
13 Sept
Penarol
3 : 1
Albion
Page 1 of 6

Club Nacional

(Away)
26 Sept
Cerro Largo
0 : 2
Club Nacional
20 Sept
Club Nacional
3 : 2
Defensor Sp.
16 Sept
Progreso
0 : 1
Club Nacional
12 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1
Club Nacional
06 Sept
Club Nacional
2 : 2
Juventud
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Montevideo 15 9 4 2 23:14 31
2 Maldonado 15 9 2 4 24:16 29
3 Albion 15 8 4 3 26:16 28
4 Penarol 15 8 3 4 23:16 27
5 Central Esp. 15 7 3 5 23:22 24
6 Montevideo City 15 6 5 4 22:16 23
7 Club Nacional 15 7 1 7 26:21 22
8 Defensor Sp. 15 5 6 4 13:11 21
9 Liverpool M. 15 5 5 5 20:18 20
10 Wanderers 15 6 2 7 16:21 20
11 Danubio 15 4 6 5 17:21 18
12 Cerro Largo 15 5 2 8 16:19 17
13 Boston River 15 5 2 8 14:20 17
14 Juventud 15 4 3 8 17:22 15
15 Progreso 15 2 4 9 12:23 10
16 CA Cerro 15 2 4 9 8:24 10
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)