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Albion vs Rocha

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2021
Albion Logo

Albion

0 - 1
FT
Rocha Logo

Rocha

Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Suarez N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2021 game between Albion and Rocha finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rocha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Albion
15%
Draws
51%
Rocha
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rocha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Albion come out ahead of Rocha on wins alone.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Albion taking it.
  • Regular Segunda Division 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Albion Clean Sheet 68%
Rocha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albion Rocha
Matches Played 38 33
Wins 16 9
Draws 10 4
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.34 0.94
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2021 Segunda Division
Albion vs Rocha
0:1
Aug 4, 2021 Segunda Division
Rocha vs Albion
0:2
Nov 27, 2020 Segunda Division
Rocha vs Albion
1:0
Oct 2, 2020 Segunda Division
Albion vs Rocha
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albion Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Rocha Compare

Top Goalscorer Suarez N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albion 68 / 100
Rocha 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albion Rocha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Albion Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Albion's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Rocha has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Rocha's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Albion VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Albion

(Home)
07 Sept
Albion
0 : 1
Progreso
03 Sept
Albion
2 : 1
Progreso
31 Aug
Racing Montevideo
1 : 0
Albion
27 Aug
Club Nacional
0 : 0
Albion
21 Aug
Albion
2 : 3
Boston River
Page 1 of 8

Rocha

(Away)
11 Aug
Potencia
2 : 0
Rocha
21 Sept
Lavalleja (Minas)
:
Rocha
23 Aug
Rocha
0 : 3
Rentistas
03 Aug
Rocha
2 : 1
Huracan Buceo
20 Jul
Rocha
2 : 0
Paso de la Arena
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albion 22 13 5 4 31:18 44
2 Danubio 22 12 5 5 24:14 41
3 Racing Montevideo 22 10 8 4 27:16 38
4 Defensor Sp. 22 11 4 7 33:21 37
5 CA Cerro 22 10 7 5 26:20 37
6 Central Esp. 22 9 6 7 29:29 33
7 Juventud 22 8 5 9 27:27 29
8 Uruguay Montevideo FC 22 7 4 11 21:27 25
9 Atenas 22 5 9 8 20:17 24
10 Rampla Juniors 22 5 6 11 14:32 21
11 Villa Teresa 22 4 6 12 17:32 18
12 Rocha 22 4 3 15 20:36 15
Promotion - Primera Division 2022 (Apertura)
Promotion - Segunda Division 2021 (Play Offs)