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Albirex Niigata W vs JEF United W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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WE League Women Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
04:00 AM
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AI Match Summary

Albirex Niigata W host JEF United W in the WE League Women. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. JEF United W have shipped 1.22 goals a game lately, while Albirex Niigata W have conceded 1.34 and scored 1.31. Past meetings favor Albirex Niigata W slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 8, 2025, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.69, favoring JEF United W. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Albirex Niigata W
15%
Draws
57%
JEF United W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: JEF United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and JEF United W come out ahead of Albirex Niigata W on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Albirex Niigata W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Albirex Niigata W Clean Sheet 13%
JEF United W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albirex Niigata W JEF United W
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 14
Draws 4 2
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.31 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2025 WE League Women
Albirex Niigata W vs JEF United W
1:0
Sep 6, 2025 WE League Women
JEF United W vs Albirex Niigata W
0:1
May 11, 2025 WE League Women
JEF United W vs Albirex Niigata W
0:1
Oct 6, 2024 WE League Women
Albirex Niigata W vs JEF United W
0:1
Apr 28, 2024 WE League Women
Albirex Niigata W vs JEF United W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albirex Niigata W 35 / 100
JEF United W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albirex Niigata W JEF United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JEF United W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Albirex Niigata W scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: JEF United W conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Albirex Niigata W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Albirex Niigata W VS JEF United W
1 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Albirex Niigata W

(Home)
12 Oct
Saitama W
1 : 0
Albirex Niigata W
04 Oct
Albirex Niigata W
1 : 2
C-Osaka W
27 Sept
Albirex Niigata W
2 : 1
Urawa W
23 Sept
Beleza W
1 : 3
Albirex Niigata W
19 Sept
Mynavi Sendai W
1 : 0
Albirex Niigata W
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JEF United W

(Away)
10 Oct
JEF United W
3 : 1
Nojima Stella W
04 Oct
Saitama W
2 : 1
JEF United W
27 Sept
Omiya Ardija W
1 : 2
JEF United W
23 Sept
JEF United W
3 : 2
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
19 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
0 : 1
JEF United W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Urawa W 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Inac Kobe Leonesa W 4 2 1 1 9:6 7
3 Beleza W 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
5 C-Osaka W 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
6 Albirex Niigata W 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
7 Saitama W 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
8 JEF United W 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
9 Mynavi Sendai W 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
10 Omiya Ardija W 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
11 Nojima Stella W 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
12 AC Parceiro Nagano W 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League Women 2027/2028 (Main)