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Albissola vs Novara

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Cacia D.
21'
Oprut R.
61'
Sub
Eusepi U. In: Gonzalez P. A.
Out: Eusepi U.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2018/2019 game between Albissola and Novara finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Novara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Albissola
35%
Draws
32%
Novara
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Albissola haven't matched Novara's recent run of results.
  • Novara are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Albissola Clean Sheet 20%
Novara Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albissola Novara
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 6 13
Draws 8 10
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.86 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2019 Serie C - Group A
Albissola vs Novara
0:1
Nov 7, 2018 Serie C - Group A
Novara vs Albissola
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albissola Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Novara Compare

Top Goalscorer Cacia D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albissola 28 / 100
Novara 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albissola Novara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Novara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Albissola scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Novara conceded in 66% of 35 recent games.

Solid form: Albissola remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Novara
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Albissola

(Home)
04 May
Alessandria
3 : 0
Albissola
27 Apr
Albissola
1 : 1
Lucchese
18 Apr
Cuneo
1 : 1
Albissola
13 Apr
Albissola
3 : 2
Siena
06 Apr
Entella
4 : 0
Albissola
Page 1 of 6

Novara

(Away)
26 Sept
Novara
0 : 2
Ospitaletto
20 Sept
Novara
2 : 2
Carpi
17 Sept
Lumezzane
0 : 0
Novara
13 Sept
Novara
0 : 1
Pergolettese
07 Sept
Renate
1 : 2
Novara
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Entella 37 22 9 6 58:26 75
2 Piacenza 37 22 8 7 56:33 74
3 Pisa 37 19 12 6 47:28 69
4 Arezzo 37 16 16 5 49:32 64
5 Pro Vercelli 37 18 10 9 45:29 64
6 Siena 37 16 15 6 57:40 63
7 Carrarese 37 19 5 13 65:46 62
8 Pro Patria 37 16 9 12 43:36 57
9 Novara 37 11 17 9 44:36 50
10 Alessandria 37 9 18 10 35:40 45
11 US Pontedera 37 10 15 12 33:39 45
12 Juventus U23 37 12 6 19 41:48 42
13 Olbia 37 9 11 17 40:49 38
14 Arzachena 37 12 2 23 28:54 37
15 Pistoiese 37 9 8 20 36:47 35
16 Gozzano 37 6 15 16 35:44 33
17 Albissola 37 6 10 21 33:59 28
18 Cuneo 37 11 14 12 29:36 24
19 Lucchese 37 9 18 10 45:40 20
20 Pro Piacenza 0 0 0 19 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B 2019/2020 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Out)