Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Albissola vs US Pontedera

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Cais D.
11' Event
Vettori F.
46'
Sub
Magrini A. In: Benedetti R.
Out: Magrini A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2018/2019 game between Albissola and US Pontedera finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward US Pontedera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Albissola
20%
Draws
30%
US Pontedera
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Albissola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Albissola carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Albissola Clean Sheet 68%
US Pontedera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albissola US Pontedera
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 2
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 0.86 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2019 Serie C - Group A
Albissola vs US Pontedera
1:2
Sep 26, 2018 Serie C - Group A
US Pontedera vs Albissola
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albissola Compare

Top Goalscorer Cais D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

US Pontedera Compare

Top Goalscorer Vettori F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albissola 41 / 100
US Pontedera 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albissola US Pontedera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Albissola Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

US Pontedera has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Albissola scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Albissola stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS US Pontedera
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Albissola

(Home)
04 May
Alessandria
3 : 0
Albissola
27 Apr
Albissola
1 : 1
Lucchese
18 Apr
Cuneo
1 : 1
Albissola
13 Apr
Albissola
3 : 2
Siena
06 Apr
Entella
4 : 0
Albissola
Page 1 of 6

US Pontedera

(Away)
20 Sept
US Pontedera
0 : 3
Varese FC
16 Sept
Pro Sesto
3 : 0
US Pontedera
12 Sept
US Pontedera
2 : 3
Pro Patria
06 Sept
Castellanzese
3 : 1
US Pontedera
12 Aug
Tau
0 : 1
US Pontedera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Entella 37 22 9 6 58:26 75
2 Piacenza 37 22 8 7 56:33 74
3 Pisa 37 19 12 6 47:28 69
4 Arezzo 37 16 16 5 49:32 64
5 Pro Vercelli 37 18 10 9 45:29 64
6 Siena 37 16 15 6 57:40 63
7 Carrarese 37 19 5 13 65:46 62
8 Pro Patria 37 16 9 12 43:36 57
9 Novara 37 11 17 9 44:36 50
10 Alessandria 37 9 18 10 35:40 45
11 US Pontedera 37 10 15 12 33:39 45
12 Juventus U23 37 12 6 19 41:48 42
13 Olbia 37 9 11 17 40:49 38
14 Arzachena 37 12 2 23 28:54 37
15 Pistoiese 37 9 8 20 36:47 35
16 Gozzano 37 6 15 16 35:44 33
17 Albissola 37 6 10 21 33:59 28
18 Cuneo 37 11 14 12 29:36 24
19 Lucchese 37 9 18 10 45:40 20
20 Pro Piacenza 0 0 0 19 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B 2019/2020 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Out)