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Alcains vs Alverca B

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Lopes Y.
36' Event
Cordes D.
61' Event
Miranda O.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 game between Alcains and Alverca B finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alverca B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Alcains
15%
Draws
57%
Alverca B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alverca B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alverca B come out ahead of Alcains on wins alone.
  • Alverca B are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Alcains Clean Sheet 17%
Alverca B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcains Alverca B
Matches Played 31 38
Wins 7 20
Draws 6 7
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.81 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Alcains vs Alverca B
0:2
Jan 5, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Alverca B vs Alcains
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcains Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Alverca B Compare

Top Goalscorer Cordes D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Miranda O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcains 10 / 100
Alverca B 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcains Alverca B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alverca B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alverca B has conceded goals in 76% of their last 38 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Alverca B lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Alcains scored in 42% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Alcains VS Alverca B
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcains

(Home)
20 Sept
Alcains
0 : 2
Vitoria Setubal
30 Aug
Alcains
1 : 0
Sertanense
13 Apr
Alcains
0 : 2
Alverca B
06 Apr
Sertanense
3 : 1
Alcains
29 Mar
Alcains
0 : 1
Uniao de Coimbra
Page 1 of 7

Alverca B

(Away)
27 Sept
Alverca B
5 : 0
Fazendense
13 Sept
Naval 1893
1 : 0
Alverca B
06 Sept
Alverca B
0 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
23 Aug
Uniao Da Serra
2 : 1
Alverca B
18 Apr
Alverca B
5 : 0
Industria
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 O Elvas CAD 26 20 5 1 41:10 65
2 Fatima 26 14 7 5 30:12 49
3 Arronches Benfica 26 13 9 4 27:17 48
4 GD Peniche 26 10 9 7 31:23 39
5 Os Marialvas 26 9 10 7 30:28 37
6 Mortagua FC 26 8 13 5 23:21 37
7 Marinhense 26 9 9 8 24:21 36
8 Alverca B 26 9 8 9 28:25 35
9 SB Castelo Branco 26 8 10 8 23:21 34
10 SC Pombal 26 8 8 10 29:34 32
11 Uniao de Coimbra 26 6 7 13 26:44 25
12 Sertanense 26 4 9 13 23:33 21
13 Alcains 26 4 6 16 17:36 18
14 Pero Pinheiro 26 2 6 18 12:39 12
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)