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Alcains vs GS Loures - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

GS Loures in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored GS Loures.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Alcains
15%
Draws
59%
GS Loures
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GS Loures

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to GS Loures lately — more wins on the board than Alcains.
  • Model gives GS Loures a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and GS Loures have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Alcains Clean Sheet 20%
GS Loures Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcains GS Loures
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 6 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.78 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Alcains vs GS Loures
2:5
Dec 11, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GS Loures vs Alcains
1:0
Apr 20, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GS Loures vs Alcains
2:1
Dec 9, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Alcains vs GS Loures
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcains 16 / 100
GS Loures 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcains GS Loures

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GS Loures Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

GS Loures let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Alcains's goal record stands at 41% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Alcains has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alcains VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcains

(Home)
20 Sept
Alcains
0 : 2
Vitoria Setubal
30 Aug
Alcains
1 : 0
Sertanense
13 Apr
Alcains
0 : 2
Alverca B
06 Apr
Sertanense
3 : 1
Alcains
29 Mar
Alcains
0 : 1
Uniao de Coimbra
Page 1 of 7

GS Loures

(Away)
16 Apr
Uniao Da Serra
2 : 1
GS Loures
08 Apr
GS Loures
1 : 3
Sertanense
02 Apr
Alcains
2 : 5
GS Loures
19 Mar
Arronches Benfica
1 : 2
GS Loures
12 Mar
GS Loures
2 : 2
Pero Pinheiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1º Dezembro 25 15 5 5 37:19 50
2 Pero Pinheiro 25 15 7 4 34:24 49
3 Santarem 25 13 9 3 40:14 48
4 Marinhense 25 12 6 7 31:24 42
5 SB Castelo Branco 25 10 10 5 33:27 40
6 Mortagua FC 25 9 9 7 41:38 36
7 Sertanense 25 9 9 7 30:25 36
8 Sintrense 25 10 9 7 34:25 36
9 GD Coruchense 25 8 9 9 30:28 30
10 Uniao Da Serra 25 9 3 13 31:40 30
11 GS Loures 25 6 7 12 26:41 25
12 Arronches Benfica 25 5 4 16 15:39 19
13 Alcains 25 4 2 19 23:47 14
14 Rio Maior SC 0 1 0 12 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)