Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alcains vs SC Pombal

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Alcains
15%
Draws
57%
SC Pombal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Pombal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SC Pombal lately — more wins on the board than Alcains.
  • Win probability leans SC Pombal's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Alcains Clean Sheet 16%
SC Pombal Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcains SC Pombal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0.77 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Alcains vs SC Pombal
0:0
Oct 27, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SC Pombal vs Alcains
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcains 23 / 100
SC Pombal 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcains SC Pombal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Pombal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Pombal has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: SC Pombal registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Alcains's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Alcains VS SC Pombal
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcains

(Home)
20 Sept
Alcains
0 : 2
Vitoria Setubal
30 Aug
Alcains
1 : 0
Sertanense
13 Apr
Alcains
0 : 2
Alverca B
06 Apr
Sertanense
3 : 1
Alcains
29 Mar
Alcains
0 : 1
Uniao de Coimbra
Page 1 of 6

SC Pombal

(Away)
13 Apr
SC Pombal
1 : 3
Marinhense
06 Apr
O Elvas CAD
4 : 0
SC Pombal
29 Mar
GD Peniche
0 : 3
SC Pombal
16 Mar
SC Pombal
0 : 3
Fatima
09 Mar
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 3
SC Pombal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 O Elvas CAD 26 20 5 1 41:10 65
2 Fatima 26 14 7 5 30:12 49
3 Arronches Benfica 26 13 9 4 27:17 48
4 GD Peniche 26 10 9 7 31:23 39
5 Os Marialvas 26 9 10 7 30:28 37
6 Mortagua FC 26 8 13 5 23:21 37
7 Marinhense 26 9 9 8 24:21 36
8 Alverca B 26 9 8 9 28:25 35
9 SB Castelo Branco 26 8 10 8 23:21 34
10 SC Pombal 26 8 8 10 29:34 32
11 Uniao de Coimbra 26 6 7 13 26:44 25
12 Sertanense 26 4 9 13 23:33 21
13 Alcains 26 4 6 16 17:36 18
14 Pero Pinheiro 26 2 6 18 12:39 12
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)