Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alcaniz CF vs La Muela

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 17 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

La Muela in this Tercera Division - Group 17 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored La Muela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Alcaniz CF
20%
Draws
40%
La Muela
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • La Muela have won more games recently than Alcaniz CF.
  • Alcaniz CF are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Alcaniz CF Clean Sheet 20%
La Muela Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcaniz CF La Muela
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 9
Draws 5 11
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.6 1
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Alcaniz CF vs La Muela
1:2
Jan 3, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Muela vs Alcaniz CF
1:0
Feb 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Alcaniz CF vs La Muela
5:3
Sep 21, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Muela vs Alcaniz CF
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcaniz CF 42 / 100
La Muela 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcaniz CF La Muela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Alcaniz CF scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

La Muela lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: La Muela conceded in 59% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS La Muela
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcaniz CF

(Home)
09 May
Alcaniz CF
2 : 3
Andorra CF
02 May
Sabinanigo
3 : 0
Alcaniz CF
25 Apr
Alcaniz CF
1 : 2
La Muela
23 Apr
Sarinena
0 : 0
Alcaniz CF
18 Apr
Alcaniz CF
4 : 2
Fraga
Page 1 of 6

La Muela

(Away)
15 May
La Muela
1 : 0
Caudal Deportivo
08 May
Zamora
3 : 1
La Muela
01 May
La Muela
0 : 1
Leonesa
24 Apr
Guijuelo
2 : 2
La Muela
17 Apr
La Muela
1 : 3
Lemona
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teruel 38 30 4 4 88:29 94
2 La Muela 38 28 6 4 73:24 90
3 Zaragoza B 38 27 3 8 96:33 84
4 SD Ejea 38 27 3 8 104:35 84
5 Atletico Monzon 38 25 6 7 77:42 81
6 Andorra CF 38 25 4 9 79:38 79
7 Sabinanigo 38 15 7 16 53:60 52
8 CD Villanueva 38 13 9 16 63:63 48
9 Utebo FC 38 13 9 16 57:64 48
10 Valdefierro 38 14 4 20 46:63 46
11 Giner Torrero 38 13 5 20 44:78 44
12 Sarinena 38 11 10 17 36:61 43
13 UD Barbastro 38 12 5 21 41:72 41
14 CD Tauste 38 11 6 21 43:61 39
15 Atletico Calatayud 38 9 11 18 46:56 38
16 CD Mallen 38 10 5 23 37:58 35
17 CD Cuarte 38 9 8 21 40:75 35
18 Alcaniz CF 38 9 7 22 55:86 34
19 Fraga 38 10 4 24 47:87 34
20 CF Jacetano 38 8 6 24 34:74 30
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)