Sport Picks
Alcantarilla vs Caravaca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 
Match Events
2'
2'
Ma A. S.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 game between Alcantarilla and Caravaca finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caravaca.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
35%
23%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alcantarilla
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Alcantarilla come out ahead of Caravaca on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Caravaca here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Alcantarilla Clean Sheet 20%
Caravaca Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alcantarilla | Caravaca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 12 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 0.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.98 | 0.42 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Alcantarilla vs Caravaca
0:1
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Alcantarilla
2:1
Jan 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Alcantarilla vs Caravaca
3:4
Sep 10, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Alcantarilla
0:1
Feb 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Alcantarilla
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alcantarilla Compare
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.49
Caravaca Compare
Top Goalscorer Ma A. S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.23
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alcantarilla 31 / 100
Caravaca 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alcantarilla Caravaca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alcantarilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alcantarilla has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Alcantarilla scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
Caravaca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Scoring Trends
Alcantarilla VS Caravaca
0.83 Goals Scored 0.5
0.33 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Alcantarilla
(Home) 04 Oct
Alcantarilla
1 : 1 Santa Cruz
27 Sept
Bala Azul
0 : 1 Alcantarilla
20 Sept
Alcantarilla
2 : 0 Cotillas CD
12 Sept
Alcantarilla
0 : 0 CA Pulpileno
06 Sept
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1 Alcantarilla
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Alcantarilla
1 : 1 Santa Cruz
20 Sept
Alcantarilla
2 : 0 Cotillas CD
12 Sept
Alcantarilla
0 : 0 CA Pulpileno
04 May
Alcantarilla
2 : 1 Aguilas FC B
20 Apr
Alcantarilla
1 : 4 Santomera
Page 1 of 3
Caravaca
(Away) 09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4 Caravaca
03 May
Caravaca
0 : 1 Club Olimpico de Totana
25 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 0 Caravaca
19 Apr
Caravaca
1 : 1 Real Murcia B
12 Apr
Yeclano B
3 : 1 Caravaca
Page 1 of 7
09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4 Caravaca
25 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 0 Caravaca
12 Apr
Yeclano B
3 : 1 Caravaca
28 Mar
CA Pulpileno
1 : 0 Caravaca
01 Mar
E.G. El Palmar
3 : 1 Caravaca
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 62:22 | 78 |
| 2 | Ciudad Cieza | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 73:26 | 70 |
| 3 | Molinense | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 54:24 | 67 |
| 4 | Santomera | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 66:42 | 62 |
| 5 | Aguilas FC B | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 52:23 | 62 |
| 6 | CA Pulpileno | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:23 | 55 |
| 7 | UCAM Murcia B | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:35 | 51 |
| 8 | Real Murcia B | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 44:31 | 49 |
| 9 | E.G. El Palmar | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48:45 | 46 |
| 10 | Bala Azul | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 34:27 | 44 |
| 11 | Caravaca | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35:41 | 43 |
| 12 | Deportivo Maritimo | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38:57 | 37 |
| 13 | Muleno CF | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 29:49 | 37 |
| 14 | FC Cartagena SAD B | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 27:43 | 36 |
| 15 | Minerva | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 33:45 | 34 |
| 16 | Bullense | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 29:58 | 30 |
| 17 | Alcantarilla | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 21:65 | 28 |
| 18 | Plus Ultra | 34 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 23:92 | 9 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
