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Alcantarilla vs Ciudad de Murcia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Lugula A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 game between Alcantarilla and Ciudad de Murcia finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alcantarilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Alcantarilla
35%
Draws
23%
Ciudad de Murcia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alcantarilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Ciudad de Murcia haven't matched Alcantarilla's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Alcantarilla taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Alcantarilla Clean Sheet 68%
Ciudad de Murcia Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcantarilla Ciudad de Murcia
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.86 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Alcantarilla vs Ciudad de Murcia
1:0
Sep 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad de Murcia vs Alcantarilla
0:2
Feb 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Alcantarilla vs Ciudad de Murcia
0:1
Oct 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad de Murcia vs Alcantarilla
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcantarilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Lugula A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Ciudad de Murcia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcantarilla 86 / 100
Ciudad de Murcia 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcantarilla Ciudad de Murcia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcantarilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciudad de Murcia has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Alcantarilla remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Alcantarilla found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (35 games).

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Alcantarilla VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcantarilla

(Home)
04 Oct
Alcantarilla
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
27 Sept
Bala Azul
0 : 1
Alcantarilla
20 Sept
Alcantarilla
2 : 0
Cotillas CD
12 Sept
Alcantarilla
0 : 0
CA Pulpileno
06 Sept
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1
Alcantarilla
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Ciudad de Murcia

(Away)
12 May
Ciudad de Murcia
0 : 1
Montecasillas
05 May
CA Pulpileno
1 : 0
Ciudad de Murcia
01 May
Ciudad de Murcia
3 : 1
Racing Murcia
27 Apr
Deportiva Minera
1 : 1
Ciudad de Murcia
21 Apr
Ciudad de Murcia
1 : 1
Balsicas Atletico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportiva Minera 34 24 6 4 53:19 78
2 Real Murcia B 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 Ciudad Cieza 34 19 11 4 44:24 68
4 UCAM Murcia B 34 19 5 10 42:24 62
5 Caravaca 34 18 7 9 60:32 61
6 Lorca Deportiva 34 17 8 9 64:30 59
7 Molinense 34 18 5 11 60:34 59
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 13 8 39:23 52
9 Muleno CF 34 12 7 15 37:42 43
10 Racing Murcia 34 11 7 16 36:51 40
11 Plus Ultra 34 12 2 20 43:56 38
12 E.G. El Palmar 34 9 9 16 33:52 36
13 Bullense 34 10 6 18 40:65 36
14 Balsicas Atletico 34 9 9 16 35:53 36
15 Alcantarilla 34 10 6 18 34:41 36
16 Ciudad de Murcia 34 7 9 18 28:43 30
17 CD Algar 34 7 8 19 31:65 29
18 Montecasillas 34 7 2 25 31:90 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)