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Alcantarilla vs Santomera - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Munoz I.
56' Event
Lopez J.
66' Event
Pastor J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 game between Alcantarilla and Santomera finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santomera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Alcantarilla
35%
Draws
38%
Santomera
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santomera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Santomera carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Alcantarilla Clean Sheet 20%
Santomera Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcantarilla Santomera
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 9 4
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0.79 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Alcantarilla vs Santomera
1:4
Dec 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Alcantarilla
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcantarilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Santomera Compare

Top Goalscorer Pastor J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Munoz I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcantarilla 32 / 100
Santomera 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcantarilla Santomera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Santomera conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Alcantarilla stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Alcantarilla's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Alcantarilla VS Santomera
0.83 Goals Scored 1.75
0.33 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcantarilla

(Home)
04 Oct
Alcantarilla
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
27 Sept
Bala Azul
0 : 1
Alcantarilla
20 Sept
Alcantarilla
2 : 0
Cotillas CD
12 Sept
Alcantarilla
0 : 0
CA Pulpileno
06 Sept
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1
Alcantarilla
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Santomera

(Away)
04 Oct
CA Pulpileno
2 : 3
Santomera
27 Sept
Bullas Deportivo
1 : 2
Santomera
20 Sept
Santomera
2 : 0
CD Algar
13 Sept
UD Los Garres
2 : 2
Santomera
05 Sept
Santomera
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lorca Deportiva 34 24 6 4 62:22 78
2 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 7 6 73:26 70
3 Molinense 34 18 13 3 54:24 67
4 Santomera 34 18 8 8 66:42 62
5 Aguilas FC B 34 18 8 8 52:23 62
6 CA Pulpileno 34 15 10 9 35:23 55
7 UCAM Murcia B 34 14 9 11 45:35 51
8 Real Murcia B 34 13 10 11 44:31 49
9 E.G. El Palmar 34 12 10 12 48:45 46
10 Bala Azul 34 10 14 10 34:27 44
11 Caravaca 34 11 10 13 35:41 43
12 Deportivo Maritimo 34 10 7 17 38:57 37
13 Muleno CF 34 9 10 15 29:49 37
14 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 9 16 27:43 36
15 Minerva 34 8 10 16 33:45 34
16 Bullense 34 7 9 18 29:58 30
17 Alcantarilla 34 7 7 20 21:65 28
18 Plus Ultra 34 2 3 29 23:92 9
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 (Play Offs)