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Alcazar vs UD Almansa

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Tercera Division - Group 18 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 18 2013/2014 game between Alcazar and UD Almansa finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alcazar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Alcazar
20%
Draws
70%
UD Almansa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UD Almansa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • UD Almansa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans UD Almansa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 18 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Alcazar Clean Sheet 20%
UD Almansa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcazar UD Almansa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 25 13
Goals Scored 0.6 1.53
Goals Conceded 3.37 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Alcazar vs UD Almansa
0:6
Oct 12, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Almansa vs Alcazar
4:0
Apr 6, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Alcazar vs UD Almansa
1:0
Nov 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Almansa vs Alcazar
3:1
Mar 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Alcazar vs UD Almansa
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcazar 10 / 100
UD Almansa 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcazar UD Almansa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Almansa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: UD Almansa conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Alcazar's goal record stands at 37% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Alcazar remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS UD Almansa
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcazar

(Home)
16 May
Alcazar
2 : 3
Villarrobledo
10 May
Albacete B
12 : 0
Alcazar
02 May
Alcazar
0 : 1
Quintanar del Rey
26 Apr
Manzanares
4 : 0
Alcazar
19 Apr
Alcazar
0 : 0
Atletico Ibanes
Page 1 of 6

UD Almansa

(Away)
27 Sept
UD Almansa
3 : 1
Huracan de Balazote
19 Sept
Villacanas
0 : 0
UD Almansa
13 Sept
UD Almansa
3 : 0
La Solana
05 Sept
Noblejas
3 : 2
UD Almansa
26 Aug
UD Almansa
2 : 7
Ilicitano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Puertollano 38 31 5 2 88:18 98
2 Socuellamos 38 25 8 5 72:26 83
3 Villarrobledo 38 22 10 6 80:32 76
4 UD Almansa 38 20 12 6 53:36 72
5 CF Talavera 38 21 9 8 72:34 72
6 Villarrubia 38 16 10 12 48:56 58
7 CD Pedroneras 38 14 12 12 42:50 54
8 La Gineta 38 12 12 14 51:55 48
9 Atletico Ibanes 38 11 14 13 44:50 47
10 Quintanar del Rey 38 12 11 15 44:56 47
11 Manzanares 38 11 12 15 41:46 45
12 Albacete B 38 10 13 15 45:58 43
13 Manchego Ciudad Real 38 10 13 15 43:54 43
14 Hellin Deportivo 38 10 13 15 35:40 43
15 Alcazar 38 11 8 19 46:56 41
16 Mora CF 38 12 4 22 37:63 40
17 Madridejos 38 8 14 16 30:41 38
18 Illescas 38 8 12 18 39:59 36
19 Azuqueca 38 9 9 20 36:53 36
20 EF Zona 5 Albacete 38 2 9 27 34:97 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)