Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alcione Milano vs AlbinoLeffe

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Ciappellano D.
24'
Lombardi A.
32'
Mandelli A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Alcione Milano and AlbinoLeffe finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alcione Milano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Alcione Milano
20%
Draws
51%
AlbinoLeffe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AlbinoLeffe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Very High Confidence
  • AlbinoLeffe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives AlbinoLeffe a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • AlbinoLeffe have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Alcione Milano Clean Sheet 16%
AlbinoLeffe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcione Milano AlbinoLeffe
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Alcione Milano vs AlbinoLeffe
2:1
Dec 20, 2025 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Alcione Milano
2:0
Apr 18, 2025 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Alcione Milano
1:0
Dec 8, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Alcione Milano vs AlbinoLeffe
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcione Milano Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciappellano D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bright K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

AlbinoLeffe Compare

Top Goalscorer Astrologo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcione Milano 10 / 100
AlbinoLeffe 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcione Milano AlbinoLeffe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AlbinoLeffe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Alcione Milano stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Alcione Milano scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alcione Milano VS AlbinoLeffe
0.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcione Milano

(Home)
30 Jul
Mantova
6 : 2
Alcione Milano
22 Jul
Torino
1 : 0
Alcione Milano
03 May
Lumezzane
0 : 0
Alcione Milano
25 Apr
Alcione Milano
2 : 1
AlbinoLeffe
19 Apr
Virtus Verona
1 : 1
Alcione Milano
Page 1 of 6

AlbinoLeffe

(Away)
02 Aug
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 2
Inter U23
29 Jul
Arezzo
1 : 3
AlbinoLeffe
25 Jul
Pavia
0 : 4
AlbinoLeffe
25 Apr
Alcione Milano
2 : 1
AlbinoLeffe
19 Apr
AlbinoLeffe
3 : 0
Triestina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)