Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alcione Milano vs Borgosesia Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Foglio C.
41' Event
Manuzzi F.
86' Event
Manuzzi F.

AI Match Summary

Alcione Milano in this Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alcione Milano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Alcione Milano
35%
Draws
32%
Borgosesia Calcio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Alcione Milano have won more games recently than Borgosesia Calcio.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Alcione Milano Clean Sheet 20%
Borgosesia Calcio Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcione Milano Borgosesia Calcio
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 3
Draws 13 6
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 1.16 0.62
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Alcione Milano vs Borgosesia Calcio
3:0
Dec 10, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Alcione Milano
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcione Milano Compare

Top Goalscorer Manuzzi F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Foglio C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Borgosesia Calcio Compare

Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcione Milano 36 / 100
Borgosesia Calcio 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcione Milano Borgosesia Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Borgosesia Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Borgosesia Calcio has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Alcione Milano went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Alcione Milano scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Alcione Milano VS Borgosesia Calcio
1.13 Goals Scored 0.71
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcione Milano

(Home)
04 Oct
Alcione Milano
2 : 2
Trento
27 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1
Alcione Milano
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4
Union Brescia
17 Sept
Pro Vercelli
2 : 2
Alcione Milano
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3
Alcione Milano
Page 1 of 7

Borgosesia Calcio

(Away)
04 Oct
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 1
Sestri Levante
30 Sept
Chisola
2 : 2
Borgosesia Calcio
27 Sept
Valenzana
1 : 2
Borgosesia Calcio
20 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 1
Bra
16 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcione Milano 38 23 10 5 70:27 79
2 Chisola 38 21 9 8 64:37 72
3 Varese FC 38 18 12 8 49:33 66
4 Vado 38 17 14 7 51:28 65
5 NovaRomentin 38 18 11 9 58:38 65
6 Bra 38 18 11 9 47:30 65
7 Ligorna 38 17 12 9 44:37 63
8 Asti Calcio 38 16 11 11 42:33 59
9 Albenga 38 15 15 8 51:33 58
10 Sanremese 38 13 13 12 34:33 52
11 Fezzanese 38 14 9 15 42:50 51
12 Gozzano 38 10 15 13 35:38 45
13 Lavagnese 38 11 11 16 46:47 44
14 Vogherese 38 10 12 16 42:57 42
15 Derthona FbC 38 9 14 15 34:52 41
16 AC Chieri 38 8 15 15 39:52 39
17 Pinerolo 38 8 13 17 25:44 37
18 Alba 38 10 7 21 39:63 37
19 PDHA 38 5 7 26 25:63 22
20 Borgosesia Calcio 38 5 7 26 25:67 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)