Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alcione Milano vs Lecco

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Duca E.
26'
Chierichetti P.
63'
Lanzi J.

AI Match Summary

Lecco in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lecco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Alcione Milano
35%
Draws
35%
Lecco
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Alcione Milano haven't matched Lecco's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Lecco have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Alcione Milano Clean Sheet 20%
Lecco Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcione Milano Lecco
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 9
Draws 12 11
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 0.97 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Alcione Milano vs Lecco
0:2
Dec 8, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Alcione Milano
1:0
Mar 13, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Alcione Milano vs Lecco
0:0
Oct 30, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Lecco vs Alcione Milano
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcione Milano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Lecco Compare

Top Goalscorer Duca E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bonaiti S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcione Milano 32 / 100
Lecco 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcione Milano Lecco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lecco conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Solid form: Alcione Milano remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Alcione Milano found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Alcione Milano VS Lecco
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcione Milano

(Home)
27 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1
Alcione Milano
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4
Union Brescia
17 Sept
Pro Vercelli
2 : 2
Alcione Milano
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3
Alcione Milano
07 Sept
Alcione Milano
1 : 1
Treviso
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Lecco

(Away)
26 Sept
Cittadella
3 : 0
Lecco
20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0
Pergolettese
17 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 3
Lecco
13 Sept
Lecco
1 : 0
Giana Erminio
07 Sept
Trento
1 : 0
Lecco
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)