Sport Picks
Alcione Milano vs Pergolettese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni 
Match Events
32'
32'
Pirola F.
51'
51'
Sub
Muroni M. In: Renault G.
Out: Muroni M.
57'
57'
Jaouhari Z.
AI Match Summary
Alcione Milano in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alcione Milano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Alcione Milano haven't matched Pergolettese's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Alcione Milano have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Alcione Milano Clean Sheet 25%
Pergolettese Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alcione Milano | Pergolettese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 13 | 11 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Alcione Milano vs Pergolettese
1:0
Oct 11, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Alcione Milano
0:2
Mar 29, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Alcione Milano vs Pergolettese
2:1
Nov 16, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Alcione Milano
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alcione Milano Compare
Top Goalscorer Pirola F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Pergolettese Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alcione Milano 33 / 100
Pergolettese 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alcione Milano Pergolettese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pergolettese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Pergolettese conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.
Alcione Milano has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Attacking prowess: Alcione Milano scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Alcione Milano VS Pergolettese
1.25 Goals Scored 0.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Alcione Milano
(Home) 04 Oct
Alcione Milano
2 : 2 Trento
27 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1 Alcione Milano
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4 Union Brescia
17 Sept
Pro Vercelli
2 : 2 Alcione Milano
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Alcione Milano
2 : 2 Trento
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4 Union Brescia
07 Sept
Alcione Milano
1 : 1 Treviso
21 Aug
Alcione Milano
3 : 1 Renate
16 Aug
Alcione Milano
0 : 1 Novara
Page 1 of 3
Pergolettese
(Away) 03 Oct
Arzignano
2 : 2 Pergolettese
26 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Trento
20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0 Pergolettese
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Novara
0 : 1 Pergolettese
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Arzignano
2 : 2 Pergolettese
20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0 Pergolettese
13 Sept
Novara
0 : 1 Pergolettese
06 Sept
Juventus U23
0 : 0 Pergolettese
22 Aug
Cittadella
2 : 0 Pergolettese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicenza | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 69:26 | 89 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 49:24 | 69 |
| 3 | Renate | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 53:37 | 64 |
| 4 | Lecco | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 47:34 | 64 |
| 5 | Trento | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:42 | 63 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 45:43 | 59 |
| 7 | Lumezzane | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 46:39 | 56 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 35:28 | 55 |
| 9 | Arzignano | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50:48 | 53 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 38:39 | 52 |
| 11 | AlbinoLeffe | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 51:49 | 50 |
| 12 | Inter U23 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 40:41 | 48 |
| 13 | Novara | 38 | 9 | 20 | 9 | 40:39 | 47 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 39:55 | 46 |
| 15 | Ospitaletto | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 37:50 | 41 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:61 | 40 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 34:62 | 25 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 38 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 34:70 | 23 |
| 20 | Triestina | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 45:59 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
