Sport Picks
Alcione Milano vs Renate - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie C - Group A Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni 
Match Events
21'
21'
Cali M.
25'
25'
Marconi M.
(Penalty)
32'
32'
Karlsson O.
AI Match Summary
Alcione Milano in this Serie C - Group A matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alcione Milano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
35%
22%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alcione Milano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Renate have won more games recently than Alcione Milano.
- Win probability leans Alcione Milano's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Alcione Milano Clean Sheet 18%
Renate Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alcione Milano | Renate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 13 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 21, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Alcione Milano vs Renate
3:1
Feb 2, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Alcione Milano
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Alcione Milano vs Renate
1:1
Jan 11, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Alcione Milano
0:1
Sep 7, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Alcione Milano vs Renate
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alcione Milano Compare
Top Goalscorer Pitou J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Braida A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Renate Compare
Top Goalscorer Karlsson O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alcione Milano 36 / 100
Renate 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alcione Milano Renate
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Renate has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Alcione Milano stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Alcione Milano scored in 55% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Alcione Milano VS Renate
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Alcione Milano
(Home) 04 Oct
Alcione Milano
2 : 2 Trento
27 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1 Alcione Milano
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4 Union Brescia
17 Sept
Pro Vercelli
2 : 2 Alcione Milano
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Alcione Milano
2 : 2 Trento
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4 Union Brescia
07 Sept
Alcione Milano
1 : 1 Treviso
21 Aug
Alcione Milano
3 : 1 Renate
16 Aug
Alcione Milano
0 : 1 Novara
Page 1 of 3
Renate
(Away) 03 Oct
Ospitaletto
1 : 1 Renate
27 Sept
Renate
0 : 1 Treviso
20 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 1 Renate
17 Sept
Renate
0 : 0 Dolomiti Bellunesi
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2 Renate
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Ospitaletto
1 : 1 Renate
20 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 1 Renate
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2 Renate
03 Sept
Cittadella
4 : 1 Renate
21 Aug
Alcione Milano
3 : 1 Renate
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 21 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 14:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Ospitaletto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 15 |
| 4 | Arzignano | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 5 | Trento | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 6 | Treviso | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:6 | 13 |
| 7 | AlbinoLeffe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 9 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 10 | Desenzano Calvina | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 11 | Novara | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 12 | Pro Vercelli | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 13 | Lecco | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | 9 |
| 14 | Lumezzane | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 15 | Pergolettese | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3:5 | 8 |
| 16 | Carpi | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:17 | 6 |
| 17 | Folgore Caratese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | 6 |
| 18 | Juventus U23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | 6 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6:10 | 4 |
| 20 | Renate | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
