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Alcione Milano vs Treviso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni
Our Tip

Match Events

42'
Lopes E.
43'
Ciappellano D.
45'
Pirola F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A game between Alcione Milano and Treviso finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Alcione Milano
35%
Draws
39%
Treviso
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Treviso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Treviso carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Treviso a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Alcione Milano Clean Sheet 15%
Treviso Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcione Milano Treviso
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 13 10
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 0.97 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.17 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Alcione Milano vs Treviso
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcione Milano Compare

Top Goalscorer Rolfini A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Treviso Compare

Top Goalscorer Cappelletti D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcione Milano 27 / 100
Treviso 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcione Milano Treviso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Treviso Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Alcione Milano went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Alcione Milano scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Treviso has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alcione Milano VS Treviso
1.38 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcione Milano

(Home)
04 Oct
Alcione Milano
2 : 2
Trento
27 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1
Alcione Milano
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4
Union Brescia
17 Sept
Pro Vercelli
2 : 2
Alcione Milano
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3
Alcione Milano
Page 1 of 6

Treviso

(Away)
04 Oct
Treviso
0 : 0
Giana Erminio
27 Sept
Renate
0 : 1
Treviso
21 Sept
Treviso
0 : 0
Desenzano Calvina
17 Sept
Union Brescia
2 : 2
Treviso
13 Sept
Treviso
2 : 1
Pro Vercelli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 8 7 0 1 14:4 21
2 Union Brescia 8 4 4 0 14:6 16
3 Ospitaletto 8 4 3 1 14:6 15
4 Arzignano 8 4 2 2 12:9 14
5 Trento 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
6 Treviso 8 3 4 1 8:6 13
7 AlbinoLeffe 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
8 Alcione Milano 8 2 5 1 12:13 11
9 Dolomiti Bellunesi 8 2 4 2 7:7 10
10 Desenzano Calvina 8 2 4 2 6:7 10
11 Novara 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
12 Pro Vercelli 8 2 3 3 8:11 9
13 Lecco 8 2 3 3 6:8 9
14 Lumezzane 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
15 Pergolettese 8 1 5 2 3:5 8
16 Carpi 8 1 3 4 10:17 6
17 Folgore Caratese 8 1 3 4 9:12 6
18 Juventus U23 7 1 3 3 7:13 6
19 Giana Erminio 8 0 4 4 6:10 4
20 Renate 8 0 3 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)